Egyptian Chemical Industries

CASE:EGCH Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م14.1b

Egyptian Chemical Industries Valuation

Is EGCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EGCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EGCH (EGP7.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (EGP23.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EGCH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EGCH?

Key metric: As EGCH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EGCH. This is calculated by dividing EGCH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EGCH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.3x
Earningsج.م2.23b
Market Capج.م14.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EGCH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EGCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
SKPC Sidi Kerir Petrochemicals
7.5x16.1%ج.م17.5b
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE
7.9x10.6%ج.م10.9b
AMOC Alexandria Mineral Oils
6.2x-3.8%ج.م9.7b
ARCC Arabian Cement CompanyE
7.5x14.1%ج.م6.4b
EGCH Egyptian Chemical Industries
6.5x30.1%ج.م14.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EGCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EGCH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EGCH 6.3xIndustry Avg. 8.6xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EGCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (8.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EGCH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EGCH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.3x
Fair PE Ratio10.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EGCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EGCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م7.29
ج.م9.61
+31.8%
4.1%ج.م10.00ج.م9.22n/a2
Dec ’25ج.م8.01
ج.م9.61
+20.0%
4.1%ج.م10.00ج.م9.22n/a2
Nov ’25ج.م8.38
ج.م12.72
+51.7%
21.4%ج.م15.43ج.م10.00n/a2
Oct ’25ج.م8.70
ج.م12.72
+46.1%
21.4%ج.م15.43ج.م10.00n/a2
Sep ’25ج.م9.12
ج.م12.72
+39.4%
21.4%ج.م15.43ج.م10.00n/a2
Aug ’25ج.م8.56
ج.م12.72
+48.5%
21.4%ج.م15.43ج.م10.00n/a2
Jun ’25ج.م7.76
ج.م12.92
+66.4%
19.5%ج.م15.43ج.م10.40n/a2
May ’25ج.م7.00
ج.م14.39
+105.6%
27.7%ج.م18.38ج.م10.40n/a2
Apr ’25ج.م9.02
ج.م14.39
+59.5%
27.7%ج.م18.38ج.م10.40n/a2
Mar ’25ج.م11.98
ج.م14.39
+20.1%
27.7%ج.م18.38ج.م10.40n/a2
Feb ’25ج.م14.30
ج.م14.39
+0.6%
27.7%ج.م18.38ج.م10.40n/a2
Jan ’25ج.م13.55
ج.م9.80
-27.7%
6.1%ج.م10.40ج.م9.20ج.م7.082
Dec ’24ج.م12.61
ج.م9.80
-22.3%
6.1%ج.م10.40ج.م9.20ج.م8.012
Nov ’24ج.م12.20
ج.م8.85
-27.5%
4.0%ج.م9.20ج.م8.50ج.م8.382
Oct ’24ج.م10.32
ج.م8.85
-14.2%
4.0%ج.م9.20ج.م8.50ج.م8.702
Sep ’24ج.م8.31
ج.م8.85
+6.5%
4.0%ج.م9.20ج.م8.50ج.م9.122
Aug ’24ج.م8.49
ج.م8.85
+4.2%
4.0%ج.م9.20ج.م8.50ج.م8.562
Jul ’24ج.م9.03
ج.م8.10
-10.3%
13.6%ج.م9.20ج.م7.00ج.م7.422
Jun ’24ج.م7.77
ج.م6.30
-18.9%
11.1%ج.م7.00ج.م5.60ج.م7.762
May ’24ج.م7.87
ج.م6.30
-19.9%
11.1%ج.م7.00ج.م5.60ج.م7.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 20:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Egyptian Chemical Industries is covered by 6 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michel SaidCI Capital Research
Yousef El HusseiniEFG-Hermes Research
Allen SandeepNaeem Holding