Egyptian Chemical Industries Valuation
Is EGCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of EGCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: EGCH (EGP8.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value (EGP24.02)
Significantly Below Fair Value: EGCH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EGCH?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is EGCH's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ج.م17.22b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 15.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does EGCH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 9x | ||
SKPC Sidi Kerir Petrochemicals | 9.7x | 17.9% | ج.م20.4b |
AMOC Alexandria Mineral Oils | 7.4x | 4.3% | ج.م11.2b |
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE | 9.5x | 15.4% | ج.م7.6b |
EGAL Egypt Aluminum | 9.2x | n/a | ج.م46.1b |
EGCH Egyptian Chemical Industries | 116.4x | 28.8% | ج.م17.2b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EGCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (116.4x) compared to the peer average (9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does EGCH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EGCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (116.4x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (9.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is EGCH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 116.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 12.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EGCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (116.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ج.م8.67 | ج.م12.72 +46.7% | 21.4% | ج.م15.43 | ج.م10.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Sep ’25 | ج.م9.12 | ج.م12.72 +39.4% | 21.4% | ج.م15.43 | ج.م10.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Aug ’25 | ج.م8.56 | ج.م12.72 +48.5% | 21.4% | ج.م15.43 | ج.م10.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Jun ’25 | ج.م7.76 | ج.م12.92 +66.4% | 19.5% | ج.م15.43 | ج.م10.40 | n/a | 2 |
| May ’25 | ج.م7.00 | ج.م14.39 +105.6% | 27.7% | ج.م18.38 | ج.م10.40 | n/a | 2 |
| Apr ’25 | ج.م9.02 | ج.م14.39 +59.5% | 27.7% | ج.م18.38 | ج.م10.40 | n/a | 2 |
| Mar ’25 | ج.م11.98 | ج.م14.39 +20.1% | 27.7% | ج.م18.38 | ج.م10.40 | n/a | 2 |
| Feb ’25 | ج.م14.30 | ج.م14.39 +0.6% | 27.7% | ج.م18.38 | ج.م10.40 | n/a | 2 |
| Jan ’25 | ج.م13.55 | ج.م9.80 -27.7% | 6.1% | ج.م10.40 | ج.م9.20 | n/a | 2 |
| Dec ’24 | ج.م12.61 | ج.م9.80 -22.3% | 6.1% | ج.م10.40 | ج.م9.20 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’24 | ج.م12.20 | ج.م8.85 -27.5% | 4.0% | ج.م9.20 | ج.م8.50 | n/a | 2 |
| Oct ’24 | ج.م10.32 | ج.م8.85 -14.2% | 4.0% | ج.م9.20 | ج.م8.50 | n/a | 2 |
| Sep ’24 | ج.م8.31 | ج.م8.85 +6.5% | 4.0% | ج.م9.20 | ج.م8.50 | ج.م9.12 | 2 |
| Aug ’24 | ج.م8.49 | ج.م8.85 +4.2% | 4.0% | ج.م9.20 | ج.م8.50 | ج.م8.56 | 2 |
| Jul ’24 | ج.م9.03 | ج.م8.10 -10.3% | 13.6% | ج.م9.20 | ج.م7.00 | ج.م7.42 | 2 |
| Jun ’24 | ج.م7.77 | ج.م6.30 -18.9% | 11.1% | ج.م7.00 | ج.م5.60 | ج.م7.76 | 2 |
| May ’24 | ج.م7.87 | ج.م6.30 -19.9% | 11.1% | ج.م7.00 | ج.م5.60 | ج.م7.00 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.