Alexandria Mineral Oils Company

CASE:AMOC Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م9.9b

Alexandria Mineral Oils Valuation

Is AMOC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMOC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMOC (EGP7.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP3.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMOC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMOC?

Key metric: As AMOC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMOC. This is calculated by dividing AMOC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMOC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
Earningsج.م1.56b
Market Capج.م9.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMOC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMOC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.9x
SKPC Sidi Kerir Petrochemicals
7.4x16.1%ج.م17.3b
MICH Misr Chemical Industries
5.2x0.6%ج.م3.2b
RUBX Rubex International for Plastic and Acrylic Manufacturing
51.1xn/aج.م589.6m
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE
7.9x10.6%ج.م10.9b
AMOC Alexandria Mineral Oils
6.4x-3.8%ج.م9.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMOC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMOC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AMOC 6.4xIndustry Avg. 8.5xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMOC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (8.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMOC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMOC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio5.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMOC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMOC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م7.70
ج.م10.04
+30.4%
7.6%ج.م11.00ج.م9.13n/a3
Dec ’25ج.م7.68
ج.م10.54
+37.3%
9.7%ج.م11.50ج.م9.13n/a3
Nov ’25ج.م7.76
ج.م10.54
+35.9%
9.7%ج.م11.50ج.م9.13n/a3
Oct ’25ج.م8.91
ج.م10.54
+18.3%
9.7%ج.م11.50ج.م9.13n/a3
Sep ’25ج.م9.39
ج.م10.77
+14.7%
6.5%ج.م11.50ج.م9.82n/a3
Aug ’25ج.م9.14
ج.م10.77
+17.9%
6.5%ج.م11.50ج.م9.82n/a3
Jul ’25ج.م9.50
ج.م10.77
+13.4%
6.5%ج.م11.50ج.م9.82n/a3
Jun ’25ج.م9.10
ج.م10.77
+18.4%
6.5%ج.م11.50ج.م9.82n/a3
May ’25ج.م7.02
ج.م10.77
+53.5%
6.5%ج.م11.50ج.م9.82n/a3
Apr ’25ج.م7.56
ج.م10.77
+42.5%
6.5%ج.م11.50ج.م9.82n/a3
Mar ’25ج.م9.24
ج.م10.89
+17.9%
5.0%ج.م11.50ج.م10.17n/a3
Feb ’25ج.م10.00
ج.م10.89
+8.9%
5.0%ج.م11.50ج.م10.17n/a3
Jan ’25ج.م9.86
ج.م10.89
+10.4%
5.0%ج.م11.50ج.م10.17n/a3
Dec ’24ج.م10.63
ج.م9.62
-9.5%
14.6%ج.م11.00ج.م7.70ج.م7.683
Nov ’24ج.م11.51
ج.م8.83
-23.3%
11.5%ج.م10.17ج.م7.70ج.م7.763
Oct ’24ج.م9.60
ج.م9.33
-2.9%
13.1%ج.م10.80ج.م7.70ج.م8.914
Sep ’24ج.م8.27
ج.م9.12
+10.3%
12.4%ج.م10.80ج.م7.70ج.م9.394
Aug ’24ج.م8.40
ج.م9.12
+8.6%
12.4%ج.م10.80ج.م7.70ج.م9.144
Jul ’24ج.م8.12
ج.م9.12
+12.3%
12.4%ج.م10.80ج.م7.70ج.م9.504
Jun ’24ج.م8.37
ج.م9.12
+9.0%
12.4%ج.م10.80ج.م7.70ج.م9.104
May ’24ج.م9.39
ج.م9.12
-2.9%
12.4%ج.م10.80ج.م7.70ج.م7.024
Apr ’24ج.م9.05
ج.م9.12
+0.8%
12.4%ج.م10.80ج.م7.70ج.م7.564
Mar ’24ج.م8.51
ج.م9.04
+6.3%
14.4%ج.م10.80ج.م7.70ج.م9.243
Feb ’24ج.م7.54
ج.م7.02
-7.0%
9.8%ج.م7.70ج.م6.33ج.م10.002
Jan ’24ج.م6.32
ج.م7.02
+11.0%
9.8%ج.م7.70ج.م6.33ج.م9.862

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 22:36
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Alexandria Mineral Oils Company is covered by 10 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nour SherifArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Dareen El ArousyBeltone Financial
Mohamed OssamaBeltone Financial