Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.) Valuation
Is ABUK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ABUK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ABUK (EGP59.95) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP34.63)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ABUK is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABUK?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is ABUK's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ج.م75.65b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 6.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ABUK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 13.6x | ||
MFPC Misr Fertilizer Production | 15.2x | 12.0% | ج.م90.5b |
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE | 9.5x | 15.4% | ج.م7.6b |
KZPC Kafr El Zayat For Pesticides & Chemicals(S.A.E) | 6.3x | n/a | ج.م1.3b |
IRON Egyptian Iron and Steel | 23.4x | n/a | ج.م43.7b |
ABUK Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.) | 6.4x | 5.0% | ج.م75.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (13.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ABUK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (9.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ABUK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 6.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 8.9x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ج.م59.95 | ج.م78.93 +31.7% | 12.4% | ج.م95.00 | ج.م63.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’25 | ج.م59.12 | ج.م75.72 +28.1% | 9.6% | ج.م85.00 | ج.م63.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | ج.م62.00 | ج.م75.72 +22.1% | 9.6% | ج.م85.00 | ج.م63.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | ج.م62.45 | ج.م74.63 +19.5% | 12.1% | ج.م85.00 | ج.م60.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Apr ’25 | ج.م66.00 | ج.م72.47 +9.8% | 11.6% | ج.م83.80 | ج.م60.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Mar ’25 | ج.م67.00 | ج.م72.47 +8.2% | 11.6% | ج.م83.80 | ج.م60.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Feb ’25 | ج.م98.95 | ج.م69.73 -29.5% | 11.3% | ج.م79.00 | ج.م59.70 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’25 | ج.م84.00 | ج.م66.94 -20.3% | 13.7% | ج.م79.00 | ج.م54.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’24 | ج.م79.35 | ج.م65.46 -17.5% | 12.5% | ج.م79.00 | ج.م54.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | ج.م75.71 | ج.م63.89 -15.6% | 13.7% | ج.م79.00 | ج.م54.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’24 | ج.م67.50 | ج.م60.43 -10.5% | 10.9% | ج.م75.00 | ج.م54.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’24 | ج.م52.75 | ج.م57.43 +8.9% | 5.6% | ج.م63.00 | ج.م54.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Aug ’24 | ج.م47.51 | ج.م56.40 +18.7% | 6.0% | ج.م63.00 | ج.م52.80 | n/a | 7 |
| Jul ’24 | ج.م44.55 | ج.م53.31 +19.7% | 11.3% | ج.م63.00 | ج.م41.00 | ج.م59.12 | 7 |
| Jun ’24 | ج.م46.30 | ج.م51.23 +10.7% | 9.1% | ج.م54.80 | ج.م41.00 | ج.م62.00 | 6 |
| May ’24 | ج.م47.37 | ج.م51.23 +8.2% | 9.1% | ج.م54.80 | ج.م41.00 | ج.م62.45 | 6 |
| Apr ’24 | ج.م43.81 | ج.م48.62 +11.0% | 11.0% | ج.م54.00 | ج.م41.00 | ج.م66.00 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | ج.م40.91 | ج.م44.32 +8.3% | 15.3% | ج.م52.50 | ج.م32.80 | ج.م67.00 | 6 |
| Feb ’24 | ج.م42.34 | ج.م40.06 -5.4% | 10.3% | ج.م44.00 | ج.م32.80 | ج.م98.95 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | ج.م38.79 | ج.م38.36 -1.1% | 12.3% | ج.م44.00 | ج.م32.80 | ج.م84.00 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | ج.م34.95 | ج.م37.16 +6.3% | 10.2% | ج.م43.30 | ج.م32.80 | ج.م79.35 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | ج.م27.50 | ج.م35.06 +27.5% | 7.1% | ج.م38.20 | ج.م32.80 | ج.م75.71 | 5 |
| Oct ’23 | ج.م24.80 | ج.م35.63 +43.6% | 7.0% | ج.م38.20 | ج.م32.80 | ج.م67.50 | 4 |
| Sep ’23 | ج.م24.71 | ج.م33.95 +37.4% | 12.1% | ج.م42.00 | ج.م29.65 | ج.م52.75 | 7 |
| Aug ’23 | ج.م23.19 | ج.م33.95 +46.4% | 12.1% | ج.م42.00 | ج.م29.65 | ج.م47.51 | 7 |
| Jul ’23 | ج.م22.70 | ج.م33.66 +48.3% | 12.8% | ج.م42.00 | ج.م29.65 | ج.م44.55 | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.