Stock Analysis

Is AS Infortar (TAL:INF1T) Using Too Much Debt?

Published
TLSE:INF1T

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies AS Infortar (TAL:INF1T) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for AS Infortar

How Much Debt Does AS Infortar Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 AS Infortar had €912.5m of debt, an increase on €470.3m, over one year. However, it also had €95.9m in cash, and so its net debt is €816.6m.

TLSE:INF1T Debt to Equity History February 21st 2025

A Look At AS Infortar's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that AS Infortar had liabilities of €479.5m due within a year, and liabilities of €794.8m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €95.9m and €126.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €1.05b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €962.5m, we think shareholders really should watch AS Infortar's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Strangely AS Infortar has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 5.6, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 1k. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! If AS Infortar can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 17% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since AS Infortar will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, AS Infortar produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

On our analysis AS Infortar's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, net debt to EBITDA gives us cold feet. We would also note that Gas Utilities industry companies like AS Infortar commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about AS Infortar's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - AS Infortar has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.