Stock Analysis

AS Baltika (TAL:BLT1T) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, AS Baltika (TAL:BLT1T) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for AS Baltika

How Much Debt Does AS Baltika Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that AS Baltika had debt of €1.71m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from €3.45m over a year. However, it also had €772.0k in cash, and so its net debt is €940.0k.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TLSE:BLT1T Debt to Equity History October 9th 2021

A Look At AS Baltika's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that AS Baltika had liabilities of €5.61m due within a year, and liabilities of €5.97m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €772.0k and €114.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €10.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €15.5m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on AS Baltika's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is AS Baltika's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year AS Baltika had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 49%, to €15m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While AS Baltika's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping €7.3m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of €3.5m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for AS Baltika (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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