H. Lundbeck Valuation

Is HLUN A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLUN A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLUN A (DKK36.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (DKK133.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLUN A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLUN A?

Key metric: As HLUN A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLUN A. This is calculated by dividing HLUN A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLUN A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.6x
EarningsDKK 2.69b
Market CapDKK 43.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLUN A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLUN A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.8x
ALK B ALK-Abelló
44.8x21.5%DKK 35.1b
NOVO B Novo Nordisk
34.8x14.4%DKK 3.3t
GMAB Genmab
20x23.7%DKK 94.2b
000661 Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group)
11.8x22.0%CN¥43.6b
HLUN A H. Lundbeck
16.6x8.6%DKK 43.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLUN A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLUN A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HLUN A 16.6xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLUN A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLUN A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLUN A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ratio25.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLUN A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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