Stock Analysis

ChemoMetec (CPH:CHEMM) Is Growing Earnings But Are They A Good Guide?

CPSE:CHEMM
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As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing ChemoMetec (CPH:CHEMM).

We like the fact that ChemoMetec made a profit of kr.74.0m on its revenue of kr.243.5m, in the last year. Happily, it has grown both its profit and revenue over the last three years, as you can see in the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for ChemoMetec

earnings-and-revenue-history
CPSE:CHEMM Earnings and Revenue History February 11th 2021

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. In this article we will consider how ChemoMetec's decision to issue new shares in the company has impacted returns to shareholders. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of ChemoMetec.

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, ChemoMetec issued 10% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of ChemoMetec's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting ChemoMetec's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

As you can see above, ChemoMetec has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 489% over three years. But EPS was only up 436% per year, in the exact same period. And the 54% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 42% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So ChemoMetec shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

Our Take On ChemoMetec's Profit Performance

Each ChemoMetec share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that ChemoMetec's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for ChemoMetec and you'll want to know about these bad boys.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of ChemoMetec's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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