David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Silkeborg IF Invest A/S (CPH:SIF) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Silkeborg IF Invest
How Much Debt Does Silkeborg IF Invest Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Silkeborg IF Invest had kr.317.9m of debt in December 2020, down from kr.345.9m, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
How Strong Is Silkeborg IF Invest's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Silkeborg IF Invest had liabilities of kr.66.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr.330.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had kr.2.87m in cash and kr.24.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr.370.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr.117.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Silkeborg IF Invest would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Silkeborg IF Invest has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.6 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.2 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. More concerning, Silkeborg IF Invest saw its EBIT drop by 5.0% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Silkeborg IF Invest will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Silkeborg IF Invest saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Silkeborg IF Invest's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Silkeborg IF Invest has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Silkeborg IF Invest you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About CPSE:PFINV
Papirfabrikken Invest
Engages in the operation of a professional football club in Denmark.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.
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