Stock Analysis

SP Group (CPH:SPG) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

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CPSE:SPG
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at SP Group (CPH:SPG) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on SP Group is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.13 = kr.287m ÷ (kr.3.0b - kr.809m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, SP Group has an ROCE of 13%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 13%.

View our latest analysis for SP Group

roce
CPSE:SPG Return on Capital Employed May 29th 2023

In the above chart we have measured SP Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for SP Group.

SWOT Analysis for SP Group

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Chemicals market.
  • Current share price is above our estimate of fair value.
Opportunity
  • Significant insider buying over the past 3 months.
Threat
  • No apparent threats visible for SPG.

So How Is SP Group's ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at SP Group doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 21%, but since then they've fallen to 13%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a side note, SP Group has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 27% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

The Bottom Line On SP Group's ROCE

In summary, SP Group is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 13% to shareholders over the last five years. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.

SP Group could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation on our platform quite valuable.

While SP Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SP Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.