Stock Analysis

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Royal Unibrew's (CPH:RBREW) Returns On Capital

CPSE:RBREW
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Royal Unibrew (CPH:RBREW) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Royal Unibrew is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.15 = kr.1.5b ÷ (kr.15b - kr.4.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Royal Unibrew has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Beverage industry average of 9.8% it's much better.

See our latest analysis for Royal Unibrew

roce
CPSE:RBREW Return on Capital Employed June 6th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Royal Unibrew compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Royal Unibrew.

SWOT Analysis for Royal Unibrew

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Beverage market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Danish market.
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by cash flow.
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the Danish market.

The Trend Of ROCE

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Royal Unibrew doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 23% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

Our Take On Royal Unibrew's ROCE

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Royal Unibrew is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 44% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.

Like most companies, Royal Unibrew does come with some risks, and we've found 4 warning signs that you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.