NRG Energy Valuation

Is NRA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NRA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NRA (€67.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€46.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NRA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NRA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NRA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA94.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NRA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NRA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
EBK EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg
0.4xn/a€18.5b
LEC Lechwerke
1.9xn/a€2.8b
UN0 Uniper
0.2x4.5%€21.7b
RWE RWE
0.7x-3.8%€23.9b
NRA NRG Energy
0.5x3.6%€15.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NRA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NRA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NRA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NRA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NRA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NRA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NRA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€67.50
€63.29
-6.2%
21.5%€82.26€38.33n/a10
Apr ’25€61.70
€55.06
-10.8%
18.9%€78.48€37.86n/a11
Mar ’25€50.80
€51.26
+0.9%
15.1%€60.90€35.07n/a11
Feb ’25€49.00
€49.47
+1.0%
13.6%€59.95€35.05n/a11
Jan ’25€46.60
€43.91
-5.8%
10.8%€51.02€34.62n/a10
Dec ’24€43.30
€42.33
-2.2%
10.9%€47.51€34.72n/a9
Nov ’24€39.80
€40.80
+2.5%
12.4%€47.32€31.23n/a9
Oct ’24€36.00
€38.57
+7.1%
12.9%€45.03€30.96n/a9
Sep ’24€34.40
€37.40
+8.7%
12.2%€42.19€30.26n/a9
Aug ’24€34.35
€37.37
+8.8%
14.2%€47.01€29.83n/a9
Jul ’24€34.50
€37.10
+7.5%
13.5%€47.43€30.10n/a9
Jun ’24€31.55
€37.06
+17.5%
16.0%€48.33€27.88n/a8
May ’24€30.75
€35.78
+16.4%
15.5%€47.17€27.22n/a9
Apr ’24€30.41
€37.00
+21.7%
15.2%€48.51€27.98€61.709
Mar ’24€30.62
€36.83
+20.3%
15.8%€48.83€28.17€50.809
Feb ’24€30.94
€35.23
+13.9%
15.9%€47.65€27.49€49.009
Jan ’24€29.99
€37.29
+24.4%
15.7%€49.03€28.28€46.609
Dec ’23€40.31
€44.45
+10.3%
10.5%€51.94€36.96€43.3010
Nov ’23€44.43
€44.06
-0.8%
9.8%€52.19€37.13€39.8010
Oct ’23€39.57
€43.91
+11.0%
9.7%€52.12€37.09€36.0010
Sep ’23€40.67
€43.65
+7.3%
9.4%€52.18€37.13€34.4010
Aug ’23€36.68
€42.52
+15.9%
12.3%€50.95€34.29€34.3510
Jul ’23€35.73
€41.93
+17.4%
9.9%€49.40€34.20€34.5011
Jun ’23€42.78
€41.68
-2.6%
9.3%€49.25€34.10€31.5511
May ’23€34.48
€40.53
+17.6%
9.9%€48.00€33.23€30.7511
Apr ’23€34.46
€40.73
+18.2%
10.0%€47.84€33.12€30.4111

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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