NRG Energy, Inc.

DB:NRA Stock Report

Market Cap: €22.1b

NRG Energy Valuation

Is NRA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of NRA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: NRA (€106.5) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€531.12)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: NRA is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NRA?

Key metric: As NRA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NRA. This is calculated by dividing NRA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NRA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio148x
EarningsUS$172.00m
Market CapUS$25.46b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NRA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NRA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.5x
LEC Lechwerke
24.3xn/a€2.4b
EOAN E.ON
13.7x3.99%€46.8b
RWE RWE
16.7x6.06%€39.2b
UN0 Uniper
11.5x-30.56%€18.9b
NRA NRG Energy
148x28.25%€25.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NRA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (148x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NRA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NRA 148.0xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NRA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (148x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NRA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NRA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio148x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NRA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (148x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NRA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€106.50
€172.80
+62.25%
16.81%€231.30€85.76n/a17
Jun ’27€111.00
€172.15
+55.09%
18.21%€248.59€84.86n/a17
May ’27€125.75
€171.61
+36.47%
18.49%€247.46€81.92n/a17
Apr ’27€124.05
€176.21
+42.05%
19.89%€267.02€83.77n/a17
Mar ’27€149.10
€173.76
+16.54%
26.81%€309.16€81.31n/a14
Feb ’27€126.05
€170.33
+35.13%
27.11%€298.49€80.95n/a13
Jan ’27€134.65
€171.68
+27.50%
27.27%€301.50€81.76n/a13
Dec ’26€141.60
€180.60
+27.54%
22.17%€295.89€125.82n/a11
Nov ’26€150.70
€177.78
+17.97%
22.62%€293.40€123.54n/a11
Oct ’26€136.75
€159.85
+16.89%
10.50%€181.81€120.06n/a9
Sep ’26€122.30
€157.85
+29.07%
10.05%€174.93€120.64n/a8
Aug ’26€138.85
€149.45
+7.63%
18.40%€173.12€79.64n/a10
Jul ’26€132.85
€133.36
+0.38%
26.89%€170.84€76.02n/a10
Jun ’26€132.70
€131.69
-0.76%
26.72%€176.60€78.59€111.009
May ’26€93.74
€100.25
+6.95%
26.78%€145.00€45.70€125.7511
Apr ’26€87.30
€103.82
+18.93%
28.88%€152.43€48.04€124.0510
Mar ’26€101.45
€107.26
+5.73%
25.83%€159.09€50.14€149.1010
Feb ’26€99.38
€101.21
+1.85%
24.86%€134.39€41.28€126.0510
Jan ’26€87.60
€94.24
+7.58%
25.48%€133.76€41.08€134.6510
Dec ’25€97.00
€92.69
-4.44%
25.56%€133.63€41.04€141.6010
Nov ’25€82.10
€83.43
+1.62%
23.16%€119.96€39.68€150.7010
Oct ’25€81.48
€76.55
-6.05%
22.10%€107.47€38.51€136.7510
Sep ’25€74.12
€76.19
+2.79%
21.15%€98.63€38.55€122.309
Aug ’25€68.70
€77.17
+12.33%
22.27%€101.50€37.83€138.859
Jul ’25€71.82
€76.64
+6.71%
22.27%€100.93€37.62€132.859
Jun ’25€74.60
€75.11
+0.69%
22.64%€101.85€37.96€132.708
€176.08
Fair Value
39.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/11 11:52
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NRG Energy, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel FordBarclays
Nicholas CampanellaBarclays
James ThalackerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research