Contact Energy Valuation

Is BZB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BZB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BZB (€4.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€14.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BZB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BZB?

Key metric: As BZB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BZB. This is calculated by dividing BZB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BZB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.2x
EarningsNZ$235.00m
Market CapNZ$7.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BZB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BZB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.1x
LEC Lechwerke
25.8xn/a€2.5b
EBK EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg
27.6xn/a€16.5b
MNV6 Mainova
33.7xn/a€1.9b
WWG Gelsenwasser
13.5xn/a€1.8b
BZB Contact Energy
30.2x4.4%€7.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BZB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the peer average (25.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BZB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BZB 30.2xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BZB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BZB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BZB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BZB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BZB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.72
€5.46
+15.7%
8.0%€6.03€4.87n/a4
Nov ’25€4.42
€5.43
+22.9%
8.0%€6.00€4.84n/a4
Oct ’25€4.46
€5.54
+24.3%
7.7%€6.03€4.92n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€5.62
0%
9.1%€6.20€4.81n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
€5.65
0%
9.2%€6.17€4.85n/a5
Jul ’25€4.96
€5.96
+20.1%
8.9%€6.42€4.96n/a5
Jun ’25€5.10
€5.61
+10.1%
9.9%€6.20€4.63n/a5
May ’25€4.92
€5.46
+10.9%
9.8%€6.06€4.53n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
€5.33
0%
12.6%€6.17€4.56n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
€5.36
0%
11.9%€6.26€4.62n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
€5.16
0%
13.1%€6.21€4.35n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
€4.91
0%
13.7%€6.05€4.04n/a5
Dec ’24€4.48
€4.91
+9.6%
13.7%€6.05€4.04n/a5
Nov ’24€4.22
€5.04
+19.3%
13.2%€6.05€4.13€4.425
Oct ’24€4.46
€5.34
+19.6%
11.2%€6.24€4.65€4.465
Sep ’24€4.48
€5.11
+14.1%
11.2%€6.04€4.48n/a5
Aug ’24€4.56
€5.12
+12.3%
11.2%€6.06€4.40n/a5
Jul ’24€4.66
€5.16
+10.8%
10.9%€6.06€4.45€4.965
Jun ’24€4.34
€5.11
+17.8%
10.5%€5.95€4.41€5.105
May ’24€4.26
€5.01
+17.6%
10.7%€5.81€4.38€4.925
Apr ’24€4.34
€5.16
+18.8%
10.8%€5.97€4.50n/a5
Mar ’24€4.34
€5.30
+22.1%
11.2%€6.09€4.59n/a5
Feb ’24€4.50
€5.13
+14.0%
14.3%€6.12€4.32n/a5
Jan ’24€4.46
€5.21
+16.9%
14.8%€6.16€4.38n/a5
Dec ’23€4.46
€5.21
+16.9%
14.8%€6.16€4.38€4.485
Nov ’23€4.30
€5.25
+22.1%
13.2%€6.11€4.61€4.225

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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