Magnora Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Magnora's earnings are forecast to decline at 16% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 31.5% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 15.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 44.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-16.0%

Earnings growth rate

-15.5%

EPS growth rate

Renewable Energy earnings growth	24.7%
Revenue growth rate	31.5%
Future return on equity	44.9%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	02 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:4SM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NOK Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	347	272	218	253	3
12/31/2025	285	192	217	252	3
12/31/2024	396	432	65	-90	3
9/30/2024	14	289	-68	-68	N/A
6/30/2024	14	33	-52	-52	N/A
3/31/2024	29	179	-63	-62	N/A
12/31/2023	25	193	-2	3	N/A
9/30/2023	92	256	-25	-16	N/A
6/30/2023	96	259	-34	-24	N/A
3/31/2023	99	38	-28	-15	N/A
12/31/2022	92	13	-76	-68	N/A
9/30/2022	16	-71	-59	-55	N/A
6/30/2022	17	-71	-51	-47	N/A
3/31/2022	14	-73	-30	-30	N/A
12/31/2021	15	-63	-24	-24	N/A
9/30/2021	18	-27	-8	-8	N/A
6/30/2021	22	-4	9	9	N/A
3/31/2021	25	18	14	14	N/A
12/31/2020	28	29	30	30	N/A
9/30/2020	31	27	35	35	N/A
6/30/2020	33	25	33	33	N/A
3/31/2020	37	15	35	35	N/A
12/31/2019	42	20	26	26	N/A
9/30/2019	47	73	4	4	N/A
6/30/2019	51	70	16	16	N/A
3/31/2019	56	73	14	14	N/A
12/31/2018	70	87	21	21	N/A
9/30/2018	60	27	18	18	N/A
6/30/2018	46	3	N/A	23	N/A
3/31/2018	19	40	N/A	65	N/A
12/31/2017	3	6	N/A	4	N/A
9/30/2017	18	-1	N/A	17	N/A
6/30/2017	40	17	N/A	-51	N/A
3/31/2017	86	-151	N/A	-189	N/A
12/31/2016	117	-241	N/A	-116	N/A
9/30/2016	-97	-268	N/A	-135	N/A
6/30/2016	55	-349	N/A	-106	N/A
3/31/2016	149	-545	N/A	20	N/A
12/31/2015	250	-514	N/A	-4	N/A
9/30/2015	666	-580	N/A	-20	N/A
6/30/2015	640	-447	N/A	-49	N/A
3/31/2015	751	-131	N/A	-52	N/A
12/31/2014	766	-70	N/A	-79	N/A
9/30/2014	697	35	N/A	-20	N/A
6/30/2014	671	53	N/A	-2	N/A
3/31/2014	645	195	N/A	-14	N/A
12/31/2013	623	186	N/A	-7	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4SM's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-16% per year).

Earnings vs Market: 4SM's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-16% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4SM's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 4SM's revenue (31.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4SM's revenue (31.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4SM's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (44.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 08:35
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Magnora ASA is covered by 15 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
John A. Olaisen	ABG Sundal Collier
Erik Tønne	Arctic Securities ASA
Chr. Frederik Lunde	Carnegie Investment Bank AB

Magnora Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Magnora ASA, Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2025

Magnora ASA to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 25, 2025

Third quarter dividend of kr0.19 announced

Magnora Asa Announces Dividend, Payable on October 23, 2024

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: kr3.60 (vs kr0.25 loss in 3Q 2023)

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) commences an Equity Buyback Plan for 6,575,183 shares, representing 10% of its issued share capital, under the authorization approved on April 23, 2024.

Executive Chairman recently bought €21k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Upcoming dividend of kr4.19 per share

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter dividend of kr4.19 announced

New major risk - Revenue size

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

SunMind SAS completed the acquisition of Helios Nordic Energy AB from Magnora ASA (OB:MGN), management of Helios Nordic Energy AB and a few minority investors.

No independent directors

Vinci SA (ENXTPA:DG) signed an agreement to acquire 40% stake in Helios Nordic Energy AB from Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) for NOK 850 million.

First quarter 2024 earnings released: kr0.099 loss per share (vs kr0.10 profit in 1Q 2023)

Magnora ASA Separates Its Legacy Business from Its Renewables Business

Magnora ASA Separates Its Legacy Business from Its Renewables Business

Magnora Asa Authorizes Quarterly Cash Distribution, Payable on 2 November 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: kr0.25 loss per share (vs kr0.23 loss in 3Q 2022)

Magnora ASA, Annual General Meeting, Apr 23, 2024

Executive Chairman recently bought €94k worth of stock

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings released

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) commences an Equity Buyback for 6,682,268 shares, representing 10% of its issued share capital, under the authorization approved on April 25, 2023.

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Magnora ASA Launches Capital Distribution Program

First quarter 2023 earnings released

First Solar, Inc. (NasdaqGS:FSLR) acquired Evolar AB from Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) for $38 million.

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr0.21 (vs kr1.11 loss in FY 2021)

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr0.058 (vs kr1.11 loss in FY 2021)

Magnora ASA to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 13, 2024

Magnora ASA, Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2023

No independent directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings released

Magnora ASA announced that it expects to receive NOK 200 million in funding

Second quarter 2022 earnings released

First quarter 2022 earnings released: kr0.32 loss per share (vs kr0.14 loss in 1Q 2021)

No independent directors

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) acquired additional 13.5% minority stake in Evolar AB.

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) acquired a 92% stake in African Green Ventures.

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) acquired additional 9.3% stake in Evolar AB.

Third quarter 2021 earnings released

Executive Chairman recently bought €290k worth of stock

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) acquired additional 15% stake in Helios Nordic Energy AB.

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: kr0.17 loss per share (vs kr0.23 profit in 2Q 2020)

Magnora ASA (OSE: MGN) acquired an unknown minority stake in Kustvind AB.

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Chief Executive Officer recently bought €89k worth of stock

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) agreed to acquire additional 12.26% minority stake in Evolar AB.

First quarter 2021 earnings released

Executive Vice President of Operations recently bought €44k worth of stock

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS kr0.54 (vs kr0.38 in FY 2019)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

New 90-day high: €2.90

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) entered into agreement to acquire an additional 25% stake in Vindr AB.

Revenue beats expectations

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS kr0.54 (vs kr0.38 in FY 2019)

Magnora ASA to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Feb 15, 2022

Magnora ASA Updates on Oddeheia and Bjelkeberg Wind Farm Project

Magnora ASA Appoints Peter Nygren as Executive Vice President

New 90-day high: €2.71

Magnora ASA (OB:MGN) entered into an agreement to acquire 25% stake in Helios Nordic Energy AB

Magnora ASA Enters Partnership to Establish Floating Wind Company

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Magnora ASA to Report Q3, 2021 Results on Nov 15, 2021

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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