Stock Analysis

We Think MVV Energie (ETR:MVV1) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

XTRA:MVV1
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that MVV Energie AG (ETR:MVV1) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MVV Energie

How Much Debt Does MVV Energie Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MVV Energie had debt of €1.66b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from €1.78b over a year. However, it does have €1.14b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €518.2m.

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XTRA:MVV1 Debt to Equity History January 13th 2024

How Healthy Is MVV Energie's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that MVV Energie had liabilities of €4.54b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.56b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €1.14b as well as receivables valued at €713.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €5.24b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €2.17b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, MVV Energie would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

MVV Energie's net debt is only 0.45 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 36.0 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Although MVV Energie made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated €964m in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since MVV Energie will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, MVV Energie burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both MVV Energie's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that MVV Energie is in the Integrated Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that MVV Energie's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with MVV Energie (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.