Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.1% and 2.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.5% in 3 years.

Key information

10.1%

Earnings growth rate

12.2%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth	2.7%
Revenue growth rate	2.4%
Future return on equity	9.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 May 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BST:ELP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (BRL Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	23,000	2,834	3,226	4,810	5
12/31/2025	21,780	2,200	2,437	3,758	10
12/31/2024	20,352	2,186	N/A	3,142	11
3/31/2024	21,629	2,044	1,420	3,634	N/A
12/31/2023	21,479	2,135	1,203	3,395	N/A
9/30/2023	22,569	2,129	735	3,394	N/A
6/30/2023	22,133	2,068	585	3,174	N/A
3/31/2023	20,215	1,181	999	3,133	N/A
12/31/2022	20,535	1,224	1,477	3,777	N/A
9/30/2022	21,864	881	777	3,159	N/A
6/30/2022	23,734	2,227	2,145	4,580	N/A
3/31/2022	24,586	3,677	1,911	4,051	N/A
12/31/2021	23,984	3,763	1,561	3,387	N/A
9/30/2021	23,046	4,439	2,139	3,882	N/A
6/30/2021	20,398	3,389	1,754	3,383	N/A
3/31/2021	19,552	4,072	2,327	3,935	N/A
12/31/2020	18,633	3,829	2,744	4,218	N/A
9/30/2020	17,302	3,397	2,685	4,141	N/A
6/30/2020	17,151	3,364	2,108	3,403	N/A
3/31/2020	16,040	2,106	1,612	2,945	N/A
12/31/2019	15,869	2,098	1,530	2,945	N/A
9/30/2019	15,216	1,751	724	2,255	N/A
6/30/2019	15,346	1,535	-68	1,826	N/A
3/31/2019	15,482	1,557	-62	1,933	N/A
12/31/2018	14,935	1,407	-519	1,771	N/A
9/30/2018	15,174	1,197	-1,001	1,407	N/A
6/30/2018	14,509	1,182	-946	1,284	N/A
3/31/2018	14,076	972	-1,081	1,203	N/A
12/31/2017	14,025	1,034	N/A	989	N/A
9/30/2017	13,411	846	N/A	1,345	N/A
6/30/2017	12,681	350	N/A	1,429	N/A
3/31/2017	13,316	1,170	N/A	1,708	N/A
12/31/2016	13,102	896	N/A	1,477	N/A
9/30/2016	13,359	1,322	N/A	1,766	N/A
6/30/2016	13,690	1,496	N/A	1,889	N/A
3/31/2016	13,791	808	N/A	1,289	N/A
12/31/2015	14,946	1,110	N/A	1,321	N/A
9/30/2015	15,854	1,034	N/A	774	N/A
6/30/2015	15,895	1,166	N/A	1,147	N/A
3/31/2015	15,105	1,103	N/A	1,356	N/A
12/31/2014	13,996	1,206	N/A	1,091	N/A
9/30/2014	11,900	1,143	N/A	1,286	N/A
6/30/2014	10,868	1,189	N/A	834	N/A
3/31/2014	9,851	1,217	N/A	1,310	N/A
12/31/2013	9,180	1,073	N/A	1,338	N/A
9/30/2013	9,137	793	N/A	1,682	N/A
6/30/2013	8,923	841	N/A	1,951	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ELP's forecast earnings growth (10.1% per year) is above the savings rate (0.7%).

Earnings vs Market: ELP's earnings (10.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (18.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ELP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ELP's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (5.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ELP's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ELP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/05/29 11:34
End of Day Share Price	2024/03/01 00:00
Earnings	2024/03/31
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Analyst Sources

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL is covered by 30 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Felipe Mattar	Barclays
Gustavo Faria	BofA Global Research
Arthur Pereira	BofA Global Research