There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Deufol's (HMSE:DE1) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating Deufol (HMSE:DE1), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Deufol:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.033 = €6.3m ÷ (€269m - €79m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, Deufol has an ROCE of 3.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Logistics industry average of 11%.
See our latest analysis for Deufol
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Deufol, check out these free graphs here.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Deufol's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.3% from 9.7% five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
In Conclusion...
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Deufol have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 21% in the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about Deufol, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 2 of them can't be ignored.
While Deufol isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About HMSE:DE10
Deufol
Provides packaging and supplementary services in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.