ZTO Express (Cayman) (DB:ZTOA) - Stock Price, News & Analysis

ZTOA Stock Overview

Provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. More details

ZTOA fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	5/6
Future Growth	2/6
Past Performance	2/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	3/6

Rewards

Trading at 54.2% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 12.66% per year

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 45.1%

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for ZTOA from our risk checks.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Competitors

Deutsche Post

XTRA:DHL

€41.2b

Logwin

XTRA:TGHN

€714.0m

Deutsche Lufthansa

XTRA:LHA

€8.0b

Hapag-Lloyd

XTRA:HLAG

€28.0b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for ZTO Express (Cayman)
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	US$17.20
52 Week High	US$24.80
52 Week Low	US$14.30
Beta	-0.14
11 Month Change	-14.85%
3 Month Change	-12.69%
1 Year Change	-12.24%
33 Year Change	-37.68%
5 Year Change	-10.42%
Change since IPO	20.27%

Recent updates

Shareholder Returns

	ZTOA	DE Logistics	DE Market
7D	-0.6%	1.3%	3.2%
1Y	-12.2%	6.9%	9.7%

Return vs Industry: ZTOA underperformed the German Logistics industry which returned 6.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ZTOA underperformed the German Market which returned 9.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ZTOA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ZTOA volatility
ZTOA Average Weekly Movement	5.5%
Logistics Industry Average Movement	3.9%
Market Average Movement	4.9%
10% most volatile stocks in DE Market	11.6%
10% least volatile stocks in DE Market	2.4%

Stable Share Price: ZTOA has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the German market.

Volatility Over Time: ZTOA's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
2002	23,906	Meisong Lai	www.zto.com

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It offers freight forwarding services; and delivery services for e-commerce and traditional merchants, and other express service users. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do ZTO Express (Cayman)'s earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ZTOA fundamental statistics
Market cap	€14.08b
Earnings (TTM)	€1.12b
Revenue (TTM)	€5.47b

12.5x

P/E Ratio

2.6x

P/S Ratio

Is ZTOA overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ZTOA income statement (TTM)
Revenue	CN¥41.98b
Cost of Revenue	CN¥28.89b
Gross Profit	CN¥13.09b
Other Expenses	CN¥4.46b
Earnings	CN¥8.63b

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	10.73
Gross Margin	31.17%
Net Profit Margin	20.55%
Debt/Equity Ratio	29.0%

How did ZTOA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.8%

Current Dividend Yield

64%

Payout Ratio

ZTOA Stock Overview

Rewards

Risk Analysis

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Competitors

XTRA:DHL

€41.2b

XTRA:TGHN

€714.0m

XTRA:LHA

€8.0b

XTRA:HLAG

€28.0b

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 19, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.34 per share

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥3.24 (vs CN¥3.14 in 2Q 2023)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Approves an Interim Cash Dividend for ADS and Class A and Class B Ordinary Shares for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payable on October 10, 2024 for Holders of Class A and Class B Ordinary Shares, and October 17, 2024 for Holders of ADSs

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 20, 2024

Recent updates

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 19, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.34 per share

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥3.24 (vs CN¥3.14 in 2Q 2023)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Approves an Interim Cash Dividend for ADS and Class A and Class B Ordinary Shares for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payable on October 10, 2024 for Holders of Class A and Class B Ordinary Shares, and October 17, 2024 for Holders of ADSs

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 20, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.77 (vs CN¥2.07 in 1Q 2023)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Announces Appointment of Jingxi Zhu as President

Now 32% overvalued after recent price rise

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 15, 2024

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥10.83 (vs CN¥8.41 in FY 2022)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 18, 2024

Now 22% overvalued after recent price rise

Dividend of US$0.61 announced

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Announces Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on 22 April 2024

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Announces Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on 22 April 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥10.83 (vs CN¥8.41 in FY 2022)

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.91 (vs CN¥2.39 in 3Q 2022)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 16, 2023

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.(SEHK:2057) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Reiterates Operating Guidance for the Full Year of 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥3.14 (vs CN¥2.23 in 2Q 2022)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 29, 2023

Now 22% undervalued

Zto Express (Cayman) Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Year 2023

ZTO Announces Change to Board Composition

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.07 (vs CN¥1.12 in 1Q 2022)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 14, 2023

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 14, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$0.36 per share at 1.3% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥8.41 (vs CN¥5.80 in FY 2021)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Mar 15, 2023

Now 20% undervalued

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.39 (vs CN¥1.43 in 3Q 2021)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Provides Volume Guidance for the Year 2022

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 21, 2022

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.23 (vs CN¥1.56 in 2Q 2021)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Full Year 2022

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 17, 2022

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 22, 2022

Less than half of directors are independent

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Announces Management Changes

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Revises Production Guidance for the Year 2022

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 25, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥5.80 (vs CN¥5.42 in FY 2020)

Upcoming dividend of US$0.24 per share

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Q4, 2021 Results on Mar 15, 2022

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Results on Mar 16, 2022

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.43 (vs CN¥1.53 in 3Q 2020)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥1.56 (vs CN¥1.85 in 2Q 2020)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Provides Operating Guidance for the Full Year 2021

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2021