Wizz Air Holdings Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of WI2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

WI2 (€16.4) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€176.68)

Is WI2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WI2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WI2 (€16.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€176.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WI2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WI2?

Key metric: As WI2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WI2. This is calculated by dividing WI2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WI2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	5.7x
Earnings	€295.00m
Market Cap	€1.68b

WI2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	22.3x
PEG Ratio	0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WI2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WI2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	17.9x
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa	6.7x	14.0%	€7.5b
SIX2 Sixt	14.1x	16.2%	€3.2b
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik	40.8x	55.0%	€1.3b
FRA Fraport	10x	3.7%	€4.6b
WI2 Wizz Air Holdings	5.7x	16.9%	€1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WI2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WI2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

4 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

4 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WI2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WI2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WI2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	5.7x
Fair PE Ratio	12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WI2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WI2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€15.89	€21.28 +33.9%	39.7%	€51.15	€11.94	n/a	23
Nov ’25	€16.31	€21.56 +32.2%	43.4%	€56.96	€11.94	n/a	23
Oct ’25	€16.77	€23.52 +40.2%	38.3%	€56.96	€11.71	n/a	22
Sep ’25	€15.86	€24.28 +53.1%	36.3%	€55.26	€11.71	n/a	22
Aug ’25	€18.20	€31.08 +70.7%	29.6%	€59.20	€18.94	n/a	22
Jul ’25	€26.70	€31.09 +16.4%	28.1%	€58.78	€19.96	n/a	22
Jun ’25	€26.80	€30.93 +15.4%	28.2%	€58.78	€19.96	n/a	22
May ’25	€26.06	€31.37 +20.4%	26.8%	€58.32	€19.83	n/a	21
Apr ’25	€24.97	€31.31 +25.4%	27.3%	€58.54	€19.90	n/a	21
Mar ’25	€26.37	€31.15 +18.1%	27.7%	€58.54	€19.90	n/a	21
Feb ’25	€23.79	€30.49 +28.2%	30.8%	€58.54	€17.28	n/a	21
Jan ’25	€25.36	€30.71 +21.1%	34.7%	€57.73	€16.12	n/a	20
Dec ’24	€21.99	€31.64 +43.9%	31.4%	€57.73	€16.12	n/a	21
Nov ’24	€17.66	€35.84 +102.9%	28.9%	€57.78	€16.12	€16.31	21
Oct ’24	€22.06	€38.61 +75.0%	24.5%	€59.96	€20.88	€16.77	21
Sep ’24	€26.23	€40.54 +54.6%	24.5%	€63.93	€23.25	€15.86	21
Aug ’24	€28.45	€40.66 +42.9%	24.3%	€64.28	€25.55	€18.20	21
Jul ’24	€31.40	€41.46 +32.0%	23.1%	€64.24	€23.91	€26.70	20
Jun ’24	€32.59	€38.38 +17.8%	24.6%	€63.23	€23.29	€26.80	18
May ’24	€33.55	€37.53 +11.9%	22.2%	€56.53	€23.29	€26.06	18
Apr ’24	€34.19	€36.30 +6.2%	25.6%	€57.03	€17.46	€24.97	18
Mar ’24	€29.26	€35.77 +22.2%	28.0%	€57.03	€17.46	€26.37	18
Feb ’24	€30.04	€35.58 +18.5%	27.2%	€57.03	€17.46	€23.79	18
Jan ’24	€22.01	€30.46 +38.4%	32.3%	€57.26	€14.37	€25.36	16
Dec ’23	€26.78	€28.34 +5.8%	34.1%	€57.26	€14.37	€21.99	16
Nov ’23	€20.19	€30.42 +50.7%	36.7%	€63.09	€14.37	€17.66	16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.