Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings, Inc.

DB:W8W Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.8b

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Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Valuation

Is W8W undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of W8W when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: W8W (€95.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€291.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: W8W is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for W8W?

Key metric: As W8W is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for W8W. This is calculated by dividing W8W's market cap by their current earnings.
What is W8W's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.2x
EarningsUS$355.88m
Market CapUS$2.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does W8W's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for W8W vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
TGHN Logwin
10.2x-7.4%€719.8m
DHL Deutsche Post
12.7x9.0%€40.8b
DE10 Deufol
n/an/a€43.4m
FRA Fraport
10.6x3.7%€4.9b
W8W Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings
8.2x5.0%€2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: W8W is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does W8W's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
W8W 8.2xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: W8W is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (10.3x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is W8W's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

W8W PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.2x
Fair PE Ratio19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: W8W is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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