Grupo Traxión. de Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Grupo Traxión. de is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 24% and 10.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 37% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.7% in 3 years.

Key information

24.0%

Earnings growth rate

37.0%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	24.1%
Revenue growth rate	10.8%
Future return on equity	11.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:W3M - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (MXN Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	35,524	1,470	1,926	3,559	4
12/31/2025	32,905	1,248	1,502	4,914	6
12/31/2024	29,140	805	2,777	3,744	5
9/30/2024	28,232	663	400	4,403	N/A
6/30/2024	27,092	812	-667	3,415	N/A
3/31/2024	25,703	705	-209	3,995	N/A
12/31/2023	24,807	639	-183	3,421	N/A
9/30/2023	23,622	445	-371	3,194	N/A
6/30/2023	22,605	352	226	3,454	N/A
3/31/2023	21,570	377	-42	3,196	N/A
12/31/2022	20,325	506	-14	3,402	N/A
9/30/2022	19,387	623	284	3,283	N/A
6/30/2022	18,336	748	469	3,070	N/A
3/31/2022	17,614	854	574	2,836	N/A
12/31/2021	17,086	850	738	2,745	N/A
9/30/2021	16,598	907	666	2,512	N/A
6/30/2021	16,051	820	878	2,546	N/A
3/31/2021	15,090	729	1,225	2,434	N/A
12/31/2020	14,298	661	1,467	2,361	N/A
9/30/2020	13,350	627	2,101	2,872	N/A
6/30/2020	12,710	575	1,728	2,690	N/A
3/31/2020	12,500	495	976	2,561	N/A
12/31/2019	12,152	449	497	2,405	N/A
9/30/2019	11,891	513	-993	1,659	N/A
6/30/2019	11,172	496	-1,092	1,617	N/A
3/31/2019	10,339	675	-1,401	1,376	N/A
12/31/2018	9,363	442	-1,804	1,064	N/A
9/30/2018	8,314	446	-1,971	630	N/A
6/30/2018	7,645	385	N/A	443	N/A
3/31/2018	7,186	183	N/A	379	N/A
12/31/2017	7,014	337	N/A	434	N/A
9/30/2017	6,662	50	N/A	547	N/A
6/30/2017	5,942	89	N/A	339	N/A
3/31/2017	4,766	33	N/A	267	N/A
12/31/2016	3,675	34	N/A	289	N/A
12/31/2015	1,746	74	N/A	205	N/A
12/31/2014	1,592	38	N/A	129	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: W3M's forecast earnings growth (24% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: W3M's earnings (24% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: W3M's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: W3M's revenue (10.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: W3M's revenue (10.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: W3M's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/29 17:39
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 12 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Pablo Monsivais Mendoza	Barclays
Pablo Monsivais Mendoza	Barclays
Carlos Peyrelongue	BofA Global Research