Ryanair Holdings Valuation

Is RY4D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RY4D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RY4D (€40.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RY4D is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RY4D?

Key metric: As RY4D is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RY4D. This is calculated by dividing RY4D's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RY4D's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13x
Earnings€1.53b
Market Cap€19.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RY4D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RY4D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.6x14.0%€7.4b
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
18.6x-8.9%€27.2b
DHL Deutsche Post
12.4x9.0%€40.0b
INDIGO InterGlobe Aviation
24.6x17.8%₹1.6t
RY4D Ryanair Holdings
13x11.0%€20.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RY4D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RY4D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RY4D 13.0xIndustry Avg. 10.8xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RY4D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RY4D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RY4D PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RY4D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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