Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation

DB:MIB Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.5b

Mitsubishi Logistics Valuation

Is MIB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MIB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MIB (€6.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€2.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MIB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MIB?

Key metric: As MIB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MIB. This is calculated by dividing MIB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MIB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsJP¥34.68b
Market CapJP¥395.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MIB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MIB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
43.1x55.0%€1.3b
EUK3 EUROKAI GmbH KGaA
10.4x13.5%€418.9m
BLH BREMER LAGERHAUS-GESELLSCHAFT -Aktiengesellschaft von 1877-
14.3xn/a€36.1m
FRA Fraport
10.5x3.7%€4.8b
MIB Mitsubishi Logistics
11.4x-9.8%€395.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MIB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MIB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MIB 11.4xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MIB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the European Infrastructure industry average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MIB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MIB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio8.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MIB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MIB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.80
€7.31
+7.5%
8.8%€8.53€6.70n/a5
Nov ’25€6.00
€6.99
+16.5%
8.8%€8.15€6.41n/a5
Oct ’25€6.48
€6.99
+7.8%
8.8%€8.15€6.41n/a5
Sep ’25€6.28
€6.99
+11.3%
8.8%€8.15€6.41n/a5
Aug ’25€6.00
€6.99
+16.5%
8.8%€8.15€6.41n/a5
Jul ’25€6.04
€6.99
+15.7%
8.8%€8.15€6.41n/a5
Jun ’25€5.96
€5.42
-9.0%
19.5%€6.80€4.34n/a4
May ’25€6.12
€5.29
-13.6%
15.8%€6.18€4.40n/a4
Apr ’25€5.88
€5.76
-2.1%
14.7%€6.41€4.56n/a3
Mar ’25€5.64
€5.37
-4.8%
14.9%€6.17€4.57n/a2
Feb ’25€5.60
€5.16
-7.8%
14.2%€6.20€4.58n/a3
Jan ’25€5.32
€5.19
-2.5%
13.1%€6.37€4.71n/a4
Dec ’24€5.52
€4.95
-10.3%
6.0%€5.46€4.70n/a4
Nov ’24€5.20
€4.95
-4.8%
6.0%€5.46€4.70€6.004
Oct ’24€4.96
€4.95
-0.1%
6.0%€5.46€4.70€6.484
Sep ’24€4.88
€4.95
+1.5%
6.0%€5.46€4.70€6.284
Aug ’24€4.44
€4.89
+10.1%
2.8%€5.11€4.73€6.004
Jul ’24€4.44
€4.89
+10.1%
3.3%€5.10€4.72€6.043
Jun ’24€4.44
€4.99
+12.3%
5.3%€5.17€4.61€5.963
May ’24€4.44
€4.99
+12.3%
5.3%€5.17€4.61€6.123
Apr ’24€4.20
€4.99
+18.7%
5.3%€5.17€4.61€5.883
Mar ’24€4.28
€4.95
+15.6%
4.7%€5.23€4.67€5.643
Feb ’24€4.24
€4.95
+16.7%
4.7%€5.23€4.67€5.603
Jan ’24€4.24
€4.85
+14.5%
4.7%€5.13€4.58€5.323
Dec ’23€4.56
€5.21
+14.2%
6.9%€5.59€4.73€5.523
Nov ’23€4.44
€5.21
+17.3%
6.9%€5.59€4.73€5.203

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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