Hapag-Lloyd Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of HLAA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

HLAA (€74.5) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (€61.28)

Is HLAA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLAA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLAA (€74.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€61.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLAA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLAA?

Key metric: As HLAA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLAA. This is calculated by dividing HLAA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLAA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	18.6x
Earnings	€1.46b
Market Cap	€27.19b

HLAA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.1x
PEG Ratio	-2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLAA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLAA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9.8x
PM1 Wilson	3.1x	n/a	€258.8m
DHL Deutsche Post	12.4x	9.0%	€40.0b
NEP SLOMAN NEPTUN Schiffahrts-Aktiengesellschaft	2.3x	n/a	€111.9m
KNIN Kuehne + Nagel International	21.6x	7.2%	CHF 24.7b
HLAA Hapag-Lloyd	18.6x	-8.9%	€27.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLAA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLAA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLAA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLAA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLAA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	18.6x
Fair PE Ratio	11.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLAA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.