DSV Valuation

Is DS81 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DS81 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DS81 (€202.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€406.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DS81 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DS81?

Key metric: As DS81 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DS81. This is calculated by dividing DS81's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DS81's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.6x
EarningsDKK 10.81b
Market CapDKK 351.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DS81's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DS81 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
DHL Deutsche Post
12.1x8.8%€38.8b
TGHN Logwin
9.6x-7.4%€679.5m
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
18x-12.6%€26.4b
FDX FedEx
16.7x10.9%US$66.7b
32.6x15.6%€351.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DS81 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DS81's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DS81 32.6xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DS81 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DS81's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DS81 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.6x
Fair PE Ratio22.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DS81 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DS81 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€198.05
€240.65
+21.5%
9.6%€308.35€211.15n/a15
Dec ’25€198.60
€230.86
+16.2%
7.6%€268.16€194.42n/a14
Nov ’25€198.85
€218.67
+10.0%
15.3%€268.13€147.47n/a14
Oct ’25€184.55
€210.21
+13.9%
13.3%€254.69€150.13n/a11
Sep ’25€162.00
€193.02
+19.1%
10.7%€223.80€147.41n/a16
Aug ’25€168.60
€191.88
+13.8%
10.7%€219.77€147.40n/a16
Jul ’25€142.80
€188.28
+31.8%
12.4%€221.52€139.45n/a16
Jun ’25€137.30
€188.46
+37.3%
12.7%€226.57€139.43n/a16
May ’25€134.55
€188.93
+40.4%
12.4%€226.53€144.76n/a16
Apr ’25€151.60
€193.53
+27.7%
12.3%€226.62€144.82n/a17
Mar ’25€149.90
€195.69
+30.5%
11.4%€226.70€150.24n/a17
Feb ’25€169.05
€194.73
+15.2%
11.5%€224.60€150.27n/a17
Jan ’25€157.80
€190.04
+20.4%
13.3%€224.51€142.16n/a17
Dec ’24€137.55
€187.71
+36.5%
13.3%€224.51€142.16€198.6017
Nov ’24€142.00
€188.49
+32.7%
14.1%€241.12€142.00€198.8517
Oct ’24€175.55
€199.18
+13.5%
12.6%€241.35€147.49€184.5517
Sep ’24€174.95
€199.85
+14.2%
12.4%€241.49€147.58€162.0017
Aug ’24€181.30
€198.02
+9.2%
12.2%€224.07€139.54€168.6017
Jul ’24€190.50
€189.92
-0.3%
11.7%€218.24€139.68€142.8017
Jun ’24€179.75
€189.67
+5.5%
11.8%€218.02€139.53€137.3016
May ’24€168.80
€187.94
+11.3%
11.7%€221.35€139.52€134.5516
Apr ’24€179.00
€185.67
+3.7%
11.9%€221.45€139.58€151.6016
Mar ’24€170.90
€184.81
+8.1%
10.7%€204.16€139.69€149.9016
Feb ’24€154.70
€179.58
+16.1%
14.2%€242.01€139.83€169.0516
Jan ’24€147.95
€183.81
+24.2%
14.9%€241.88€139.76€157.8016
Dec ’23€151.05
€183.01
+21.2%
14.9%€241.73€139.67€137.5516

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 17:03
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

DSV A/S is covered by 44 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Casper BlomABG Sundal Collier
David FintzenBarclays
Marco LimiteBarclays