Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V.

DB:AED Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.0b

Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V Valuation

Is AED undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AED when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AED (€33.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€18.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AED is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AED?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AED key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.3x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AED's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AED vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.5x
FRA Fraport
11.2x6.3%€4.4b
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
4.2x2.0%€8.0b
SIX2 Sixt
12.6x7.4%€3.8b
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
10x-94.8%€29.5b
AED Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V
17x9.3%€183.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AED's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the European Infrastructure industry average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AED's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AED PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio16.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AED is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AED forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€33.40
€31.47
-5.8%
18.0%€40.49€15.72n/a14
Apr ’25€28.40
€32.41
+14.1%
11.3%€40.48€25.69n/a14
Mar ’25€26.40
€32.28
+22.3%
10.7%€40.07€25.43n/a14
Feb ’25€26.60
€31.37
+17.9%
11.5%€39.63€25.15n/a13
Jan ’25€25.60
€30.45
+18.9%
17.3%€42.17€23.46n/a13
Dec ’24€21.20
€28.75
+35.6%
19.3%€42.17€22.02n/a12
Nov ’24€19.90
€28.95
+45.5%
18.9%€42.02€23.06n/a12
Oct ’24€23.80
€32.29
+35.7%
13.4%€43.23€26.12n/a14
Sep ’24€25.00
€32.46
+29.8%
13.1%€43.26€26.14n/a15
Aug ’24€25.20
€31.62
+25.5%
12.4%€41.86€25.30n/a15
Jul ’24€25.40
€32.28
+27.1%
10.6%€42.11€26.94n/a16
Jun ’24€25.80
€30.92
+19.8%
11.3%€40.87€24.80n/a15
May ’24€25.80
€29.85
+15.7%
12.1%€39.95€24.24n/a15
Apr ’24€28.40
€30.36
+6.9%
12.0%€40.46€24.55€28.4014
Mar ’24€28.00
€28.28
+1.0%
10.9%€33.16€22.12€26.4015
Feb ’24€24.40
€26.19
+7.3%
10.5%€31.29€20.87€26.6015
Jan ’24€22.20
€24.49
+10.3%
13.9%€30.69€15.59€25.6015
Dec ’23€23.40
€24.52
+4.8%
12.3%€29.57€16.29€21.2015
Nov ’23€23.40
€24.32
+3.9%
11.4%€28.86€16.60€19.9015
Oct ’23€20.20
€23.85
+18.0%
11.3%€28.30€16.28€23.8015
Sep ’23€20.80
€23.77
+14.3%
10.8%€28.43€16.36€25.0015
Aug ’23€18.10
€22.48
+24.2%
9.9%€25.93€15.61€25.2016
Jul ’23€18.50
€22.62
+22.2%
10.4%€26.21€15.52€25.4016
Jun ’23€20.20
€22.36
+10.7%
10.6%€25.99€15.39€25.8016
May ’23€20.60
€21.39
+3.8%
11.0%€25.51€15.10€25.8015
Apr ’23€19.70
€19.89
+1.0%
10.4%€22.86€14.29€28.4016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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