Algoma Central Corporation

DB:ACH Stock Report

Market Cap: €414.1m

Algoma Central Valuation

Is ACH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACH (€10) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACH is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACH?

Key metric: As ACH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ACH. This is calculated by dividing ACH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ACH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.3x
EarningsCA$73.75m
Market CapCA$614.20m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.6x
PM1 Wilson
3.1xn/a€258.8m
NEP SLOMAN NEPTUN Schiffahrts-Aktiengesellschaft
2.3xn/a€111.9m
HHX HAMMONIA Schiffsholding
10.5xn/a€40.7m
EUK3 EUROKAI GmbH KGaA
10.7x13.5%€424.2m
ACH Algoma Central
8.3xn/a€614.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ACH 8.3xIndustry Avg. 7.0xNo. of Companies7PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ACH's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.00
€14.39
+43.9%
14.9%€16.54€12.24n/a2
Nov ’25€10.10
€14.45
+43.1%
14.9%€16.61€12.29n/a2
Oct ’25€9.75
€14.45
+48.2%
14.9%€16.61€12.29n/a2
Sep ’25€9.55
€14.45
+51.3%
14.9%€16.61€12.29n/a2
Aug ’25€9.60
€15.12
+57.5%
12.4%€16.98€13.25n/a2
Sep ’24€10.20
€15.87
+55.6%
10.1%€17.00€13.60€9.553
Aug ’24€10.30
€15.76
+53.0%
9.0%€16.77€13.75€9.603
Jul ’24€10.20
€15.76
+54.5%
9.0%€16.77€13.75€9.453
Jun ’24€10.10
€15.76
+56.0%
9.0%€16.77€13.75€9.553
May ’24€10.20
€16.51
+61.9%
6.9%€17.32€14.89€9.853
Apr ’24€10.50
€16.51
+57.2%
6.9%€17.32€14.89€10.003
Mar ’24€11.00
€16.51
+50.1%
6.9%€17.32€14.89€10.003
Feb ’24€11.20
€16.55
+47.7%
4.9%€17.12€15.40€10.503
Jan ’24€12.50
€16.69
+33.5%
4.9%€17.26€15.54€10.003
Dec ’23€11.80
€17.79
+50.8%
4.9%€18.41€16.57€10.203
Nov ’23€12.40
€16.53
+33.3%
1.1%€16.72€16.35€9.752

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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