JD Logistics, Inc.

DB:822 Stock Report

Market Cap: €10.1b

JD Logistics Valuation

Is 822 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 822 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 822 (€1.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 822 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 822?

Key metric: As 822 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 822. This is calculated by dividing 822's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 822's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14x
EarningsCN¥5.51b
Market CapCN¥76.98b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 822's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 822 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.1x
DHL Deutsche Post
12.2x8.8%€38.9b
TGHN Logwin
9.8x-7.4%€691.0m
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.5x15.1%€7.4b
FRA Fraport
11.9x2.6%€5.4b
822 JD Logistics
14x14.8%€81.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 822 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the peer average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 822's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
822 14.0xIndustry Avg. 13.5xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 822 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 822's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

822 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14x
Fair PE Ratio15.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 822 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 822 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.63
€2.36
+44.8%
13.5%€3.07€1.59n/a18
Dec ’25€1.67
€2.34
+39.9%
15.3%€3.05€1.58n/a18
Nov ’25€1.79
€1.91
+6.6%
22.3%€2.62€1.27n/a18
Oct ’25€1.58
€1.49
-5.5%
18.0%€2.33€1.20n/a18
Sep ’25€1.06
€1.48
+39.9%
18.2%€2.34€1.19n/a18
Aug ’25€0.90
€1.45
+61.6%
18.6%€2.23€1.10n/a18
Jul ’25€0.94
€1.48
+56.4%
17.7%€2.26€1.14n/a18
Jun ’25€1.02
€1.45
+42.3%
18.1%€2.24€1.04n/a19
May ’25€1.02
€1.37
+34.2%
18.6%€2.02€0.99n/a19
Apr ’25€0.90
€1.44
+60.4%
24.7%€2.47€0.98n/a18
Mar ’25€0.87
€1.66
+90.9%
32.4%€3.32€1.04n/a19
Feb ’25€0.80
€1.67
+109.0%
32.4%€3.34€1.05n/a19
Jan ’25€1.11
€1.79
+61.0%
32.6%€3.29€1.03n/a19
Dec ’24€1.16
€1.81
+56.4%
32.7%€3.34€0.96€1.6719
Nov ’24€1.05
€1.98
+88.3%
26.4%€3.35€1.24€1.7918
Oct ’24€1.25
€2.22
+77.6%
31.5%€4.22€1.39€1.5818
Sep ’24€1.24
€2.20
+77.3%
31.0%€4.14€1.37€1.0618
Aug ’24€1.51
€2.28
+50.7%
27.3%€4.05€1.49€0.9018
Jul ’24€1.43
€2.28
+59.6%
27.8%€4.05€1.50€0.9418
Jun ’24€1.46
€2.38
+62.8%
27.5%€4.22€1.51€1.0218
May ’24€1.42
€2.40
+69.1%
28.7%€4.19€1.49€1.0217
Apr ’24€1.64
€2.55
+55.1%
28.0%€4.27€1.73€0.9017
Mar ’24€1.76
€2.82
+60.3%
24.8%€4.67€1.75€0.8717
Feb ’24€2.07
€2.82
+36.1%
24.8%€4.67€1.75€0.8017
Jan ’24€1.82
€2.76
+51.2%
29.6%€4.59€1.57€1.1117
Dec ’23€1.74
€2.74
+57.4%
29.4%€4.56€1.56€1.1617

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 19:56
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

JD Logistics, Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Fan TsoBofA Global Research
Qibin FengChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Xin YangChina International Capital Corporation Limited