InPost Valuation

Is 669 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 669 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 669 (€16.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€52.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 669 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 669?

Key metric: As 669 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 669. This is calculated by dividing 669's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 669's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.2x
Earningszł1.00b
Market Capzł35.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 669's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 669 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.1x
DHL Deutsche Post
12.7x8.8%€40.9b
TGHN Logwin
9.7x-7.4%€685.3m
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
7.2x14.8%€8.1b
FRA Fraport
10.8x2.2%€4.9b
669 InPost
35.2x26.6%€8.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 669 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the peer average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 669's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
669 35.2xIndustry Avg. 13.0xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 669 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 669's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

669 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.2x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 669 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 669 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.62
€19.59
+17.9%
18.9%€23.25€8.18n/a16
Dec ’25€16.65
€19.64
+17.9%
18.9%€23.16€8.15n/a16
Nov ’25€17.84
€18.88
+5.8%
21.2%€22.97€8.10n/a16
Oct ’25€16.64
€18.41
+10.7%
20.1%€21.89€8.16n/a16
Sep ’25€16.80
€17.67
+5.2%
19.9%€21.22€8.14n/a15
Aug ’25€15.80
€17.71
+12.1%
19.9%€21.24€8.15n/a15
Jul ’25€16.27
€17.22
+5.8%
19.6%€20.95€8.04n/a15
Jun ’25€16.74
€16.78
+0.2%
18.6%€19.88€8.15n/a15
May ’25€15.13
€16.19
+7.0%
16.9%€18.92€8.12n/a14
Apr ’25€14.20
€14.88
+4.8%
17.4%€19.00€8.22n/a15
Mar ’25€14.54
€14.32
-1.5%
17.7%€18.16€8.22n/a15
Feb ’25€13.70
€13.83
+0.9%
16.7%€17.98€8.24n/a15
Jan ’25€12.61
€13.06
+3.6%
13.1%€15.10€8.26n/a15
Dec ’24€11.20
€13.15
+17.4%
13.0%€15.15€8.29€16.6515
Nov ’24€9.08
€12.99
+43.1%
14.3%€15.69€8.47€17.8415
Oct ’24€11.14
€12.53
+12.5%
20.2%€15.16€4.34€16.6415
Sep ’24€10.85
€10.98
+1.2%
19.5%€12.99€4.47€16.8015
Aug ’24€10.83
€10.84
+0.2%
18.3%€12.95€4.69€15.8015
Jul ’24€9.88
€10.84
+9.8%
18.2%€12.96€4.70€16.2715
Jun ’24€9.90
€10.41
+5.1%
18.3%€12.48€4.61€16.7414
May ’24€9.86
€10.13
+2.8%
18.3%€12.76€4.55€15.1313
Apr ’24€8.38
€9.67
+15.5%
21.2%€12.51€4.60€14.2012
Mar ’24€8.03
€9.58
+19.3%
20.8%€12.32€4.52€14.5412
Feb ’24€9.00
€9.51
+5.6%
21.6%€12.47€4.58€13.7012
Jan ’24€8.00
€8.57
+7.2%
22.7%€12.52€4.60€12.6112
Dec ’23€7.34
€8.46
+15.3%
21.3%€12.52€4.60€11.2012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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