Nagoya Railroad Valuation

Is 59V undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 59V when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 59V (€10.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 59V is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 59V?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

59V key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.6x
PEG Ratio9.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 59V's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 59V vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.8x
SIX2 Sixt
13.2x15.4%€3.0b
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
50.3x59.1%€1.3b
FRA Fraport
9.7x4.4%€4.5b
TGHN Logwin
10x-7.4%€708.3m
59V Nagoya Railroad
12.3x1.3%€340.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 59V is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (20.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 59V's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 59V is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the Global Transportation industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 59V's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

59V PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 59V is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 59V forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.30
€12.68
+23.1%
7.3%€13.61€11.75n/a2
Oct ’25€10.50
€12.68
+20.7%
7.3%€13.61€11.75n/a2
Sep ’25€10.40
€13.18
+26.7%
12.3%€15.23€11.26n/a3
Aug ’25€10.70
€13.18
+23.2%
12.3%€15.23€11.26n/a3
Jul ’25€9.75
€13.18
+35.2%
12.3%€15.23€11.26n/a3
Jun ’25€10.10
€14.23
+40.9%
6.6%€15.09€12.92n/a3
May ’25€11.80
€15.03
+27.4%
4.7%€15.73€14.07n/a3
Apr ’25€12.60
€15.03
+19.3%
4.7%€15.73€14.07n/a3
Mar ’25€12.90
€15.25
+18.2%
5.4%€15.92€14.08n/a3
Feb ’25€14.00
€15.69
+12.1%
5.1%€16.52€14.61n/a3
Jan ’25€14.20
€15.69
+10.5%
5.1%€16.52€14.61n/a3
Dec ’24€13.10
€15.67
+19.6%
6.5%€16.90€14.40n/a3
Nov ’24€13.00
€15.67
+20.6%
6.5%€16.90€14.40n/a3
Oct ’24€13.70
€15.67
+14.4%
6.5%€16.90€14.40€10.503
Sep ’24€14.60
€15.67
+7.3%
6.5%€16.90€14.40€10.403
Aug ’24€14.30
€16.18
+13.1%
7.9%€17.98€15.25€10.703
Jul ’24€14.40
€16.18
+12.4%
7.9%€17.98€15.25€9.753
Jun ’24€15.10
€16.64
+10.2%
4.1%€17.60€16.13€10.103
May ’24€14.40
€16.64
+15.6%
4.1%€17.60€16.13€11.803
Apr ’24€13.80
€16.64
+20.6%
4.1%€17.60€16.13€12.603
Mar ’24€14.00
€16.64
+18.9%
4.1%€17.60€16.13€12.903
Feb ’24€14.60
€16.64
+14.0%
4.1%€17.60€16.13€14.003
Jan ’24€15.00
€15.99
+6.6%
7.5%€17.43€14.50€14.203
Dec ’23€15.10
€15.86
+5.0%
9.2%€17.72€14.18€13.103
Nov ’23€15.20
€16.98
+11.7%
9.2%€18.97€15.18€13.003
Oct ’23€15.30
€16.98
+11.0%
9.2%€18.97€15.18€13.703

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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