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Hawaiian Holdings Valuation

Is 1HW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1HW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1HW's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1HW's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1HW?

Key metric: As 1HW is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1HW. This is calculated by dividing 1HW's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1HW's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$2.77b
Market CapUS$936.18m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1HW's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1HW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
0.2x3.9%€7.4b
TGHN Logwin
0.5x2.8%€673.7m
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
0.9x5.2%€1.4b
6P9 Global Ports Holding
1.6x6.8%€279.0m
1HW Hawaiian Holdings
0.3x10.2%€936.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1HW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1HW's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Airlines Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1HW 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1HW is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1HW's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1HW PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.06x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1HW is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1HW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€14.83
0%
10.1%€16.18€12.58n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€14.83
0%
10.1%€16.18€12.58n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
€14.83
0%
10.1%€16.18€12.58n/a4
Sep ’25€15.60
€14.83
-4.9%
10.1%€16.18€12.58n/a4
Aug ’25€11.80
€13.99
+18.5%
12.6%€16.51€11.92n/a4
Jul ’25€11.50
€14.02
+21.9%
14.9%€16.82€11.21n/a4
Jun ’25€12.50
€14.02
+12.1%
14.9%€16.82€11.21n/a4
May ’25€11.50
€14.02
+21.9%
14.9%€16.82€11.21n/a4
Apr ’25€12.30
€13.19
+7.2%
26.4%€16.66€7.40n/a4
Mar ’25€13.00
€13.17
+1.3%
26.4%€16.64€7.39n/a4
Feb ’25€13.20
€13.19
-0.09%
26.4%€16.66€7.40n/a4
Jan ’25€13.20
€6.81
-48.4%
67.7%€14.77€3.69n/a4
Dec ’24€4.06
€3.81
-6.1%
14.9%€4.67€2.80n/a6
Nov ’24€3.94
€4.72
+19.9%
46.2%€9.45€2.83n/a6
Oct ’24€6.05
€8.88
+46.8%
18.0%€11.22€6.54n/a6
Sep ’24€7.90
€9.34
+18.2%
16.5%€11.02€7.35€15.606
Aug ’24€10.50
€9.46
-9.9%
14.3%€10.82€7.21€11.806
Jul ’24€9.75
€8.71
-10.7%
14.6%€11.00€7.34€11.506
Jun ’24€7.45
€8.79
+18.0%
14.6%€11.11€7.40€12.506
May ’24€7.05
€8.76
+24.3%
15.4%€10.88€7.25€11.506
Apr ’24€8.00
€9.99
+24.9%
25.2%€14.76€7.38€12.306
Mar ’24€10.50
€10.14
-3.4%
25.2%€14.97€7.49€13.006
Feb ’24€10.20
€10.62
+4.1%
25.1%€14.56€7.28€13.206
Jan ’24€9.35
€12.56
+34.3%
26.9%€17.89€7.53€13.206
Dec ’23€13.30
€15.26
+14.7%
19.7%€19.07€10.04€4.065
Nov ’23€14.60
€15.47
+6.0%
19.7%€18.85€9.92€3.945

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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