Exchange Income Corporation

DB:0ON Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.5b

Exchange Income Valuation

Is 0ON undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0ON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0ON (€31.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€69.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0ON is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0ON?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0ON key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.9x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0ON's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0ON vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.1x
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
5.1x9.0%€8.2b
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
63.4x62.2%€1.3b
SIX2 Sixt
12.7x7.4%€3.8b
FRA Fraport
11.3x6.3%€4.4b
0ON Exchange Income
17.8x19.8%€2.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0ON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (23.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0ON's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0ON is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0ON's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0ON PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.8x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0ON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0ON forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€31.40
€43.47
+38.4%
5.0%€48.94€40.79n/a10
Apr ’25€33.80
€43.64
+29.1%
5.0%€49.13€40.94n/a10
Mar ’25€32.80
€43.64
+33.0%
5.0%€49.13€40.94n/a10
Feb ’25€32.40
€43.32
+33.7%
4.5%€48.10€41.23n/a10
Jan ’25€30.20
€43.60
+44.4%
4.8%€47.87€41.03n/a10
Dec ’24€30.20
€42.47
+40.6%
5.5%€46.89€38.85n/a10
Nov ’24€28.60
€45.75
+60.0%
3.4%€48.38€43.95n/a10
Oct ’24€31.60
€46.12
+46.0%
3.8%€49.70€43.91n/a10
Sep ’24€32.60
€46.12
+41.5%
3.8%€49.70€43.91n/a10
Aug ’24€34.60
€46.67
+34.9%
3.9%€50.29€44.43n/a10
Jul ’24€35.20
€46.76
+32.8%
3.2%€49.22€44.71n/a10
Jun ’24€34.80
€44.71
+28.5%
4.0%€48.20€40.73n/a11
May ’24€33.80
€42.81
+26.7%
3.9%€44.88€39.53€31.4011
Apr ’24€35.00
€42.95
+22.7%
4.0%€44.77€40.02€33.8011
Mar ’24€34.20
€43.60
+27.5%
4.5%€45.98€39.71€32.8011
Feb ’24€37.20
€42.41
+14.0%
4.8%€44.73€38.53€32.4011
Jan ’24€37.80
€44.40
+17.4%
4.8%€47.17€40.64€30.2011
Dec ’23€33.60
€44.40
+32.1%
4.8%€47.17€40.64€30.2011
Nov ’23€33.00
€44.52
+34.9%
6.0%€48.75€39.15€28.6011
Oct ’23€30.20
€46.87
+55.2%
5.4%€50.30€42.68€31.6010
Sep ’23€35.80
€47.07
+31.5%
4.6%€49.80€42.91€32.607
Aug ’23€34.80
€43.28
+24.4%
4.8%€45.87€39.21€34.6011
Jul ’23€30.40
€43.28
+42.4%
4.8%€45.87€39.21€35.2011
Jun ’23€33.60
€43.28
+28.8%
4.8%€45.87€39.21€34.8011
May ’23€30.20
€38.06
+26.0%
6.3%€41.68€34.37€33.8011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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