Tokyu Valuation

Is 01T undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 01T when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 01T (€10.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 01T is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 01T?

Key metric: As 01T is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 01T. This is calculated by dividing 01T's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 01T's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.3x
EarningsJP¥78.20b
Market CapJP¥1.04t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 01T's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 01T vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.7x
SIX2 Sixt
13.9x16.3%€3.0b
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.7x14.0%€7.6b
FRA Fraport
10.6x3.7%€4.8b
GMXT * GMéxico Transportes. de
15.4x21.6%Mex$132.4b
01T Tokyu
13.3x-0.1%€1.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 01T is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the peer average (11.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 01T's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
01T 13.3xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 01T is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 01T's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

01T PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.3x
Fair PE Ratio12.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 01T is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 01T forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.70
€12.23
+14.3%
11.4%€14.68€11.01n/a5
Nov ’25€11.10
€12.03
+8.4%
9.8%€13.97€10.94n/a5
Oct ’25€11.20
€12.72
+13.6%
9.5%€14.45€11.31n/a4
Sep ’25€10.90
€12.38
+13.6%
7.9%€13.62€11.14n/a4
Aug ’25€10.70
€11.67
+9.0%
7.9%€12.83€10.50n/a4
Jul ’25€9.85
€11.67
+18.5%
7.9%€12.83€10.50n/a4
Jun ’25€10.60
€12.19
+15.0%
4.8%€13.05€11.27n/a5
May ’25€11.00
€12.58
+14.4%
4.8%€13.48€11.64n/a5
Apr ’25€11.00
€12.63
+14.8%
6.3%€14.01€11.57n/a5
Mar ’25€11.60
€12.86
+10.9%
6.3%€14.19€11.73n/a5
Feb ’25€10.70
€12.27
+14.7%
8.9%€13.30€10.58n/a5
Jan ’25€10.80
€12.55
+16.2%
8.5%€13.53€10.76n/a5
Dec ’24€10.50
€11.81
+12.5%
7.9%€12.86€10.23n/a5
Nov ’24€10.60
€12.41
+17.1%
9.7%€13.97€10.60€11.106
Oct ’24€10.80
€12.41
+14.9%
9.7%€13.97€10.60€11.206
Sep ’24€11.90
€12.41
+4.3%
9.7%€13.97€10.60€10.906
Aug ’24€11.40
€12.10
+6.1%
11.9%€14.02€10.01€10.706
Jul ’24€10.80
€12.37
+14.5%
11.7%€13.98€10.45€9.855
Jun ’24€11.80
€13.04
+10.5%
10.7%€14.68€10.97€10.606
May ’24€12.50
€13.04
+4.3%
10.7%€14.68€10.97€11.006
Apr ’24€11.90
€13.04
+9.5%
10.7%€14.68€10.97€11.006
Mar ’24€10.90
€13.27
+21.7%
11.7%€15.51€11.07€11.606
Feb ’24€11.30
€13.19
+16.7%
12.4%€15.49€10.70€10.706
Jan ’24€11.50
€12.98
+12.9%
12.7%€15.34€10.60€10.806
Dec ’23€11.80
€12.72
+7.8%
12.0%€15.24€10.53€10.506
Nov ’23€11.60
€13.26
+14.3%
10.9%€15.77€11.47€10.606

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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