Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Fraport AG (ETR:FRA) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Fraport
How Much Debt Does Fraport Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Fraport had €10.6b of debt, an increase on €9.79b, over one year. However, it also had €2.48b in cash, and so its net debt is €8.07b.
How Healthy Is Fraport's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Fraport had liabilities of €2.07b due within a year, and liabilities of €10.9b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €2.48b and €356.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €10.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €3.53b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Fraport would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Fraport shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (16.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.22 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Fraport is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of €64m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fraport can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Fraport saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Fraport's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Fraport commonly do use debt without problems. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Fraport has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Fraport (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:FRA
Fraport
Owns and operates airports in Germany, rest of Europe, Asia, and the United States.
Undervalued with proven track record.