Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Nabaltec AG (ETR:NTG) Price Target After Its Latest Report

XTRA:NTG
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It's been a good week for Nabaltec AG (ETR:NTG) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 2.6% to €14.05. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of €50m and statutory earnings per share of €1.30 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Nabaltec is executing in line with expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Nabaltec after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Nabaltec

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XTRA:NTG Earnings and Revenue Growth November 24th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Nabaltec's three analysts is for revenues of €213.3m in 2025. This would reflect a reasonable 5.1% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to decrease 5.9% to €1.51 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €213.3m and earnings per share (EPS) of €1.47 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Nabaltec's earnings potential following these results.

The average the analysts price target fell 27% to €22.50, suggesting thatthe analysts have other concerns, and the improved earnings per share outlook was not enough to allay them. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Nabaltec analyst has a price target of €25.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €20.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Nabaltec is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 4.1% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 5.1% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 4.3% per year. It's clear that while Nabaltec's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Nabaltec following these results. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Nabaltec going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Nabaltec has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nabaltec might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.