A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S

XTRA:DP4B Stock Report

Market Cap: €24.5b

A.P. Møller - Mærsk Valuation

Is DP4B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DP4B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DP4B (€1618) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1212.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DP4B is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DP4B?

Key metric: As DP4B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DP4B. This is calculated by dividing DP4B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DP4B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.4x
EarningsUS$3.59b
Market CapUS$25.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DP4B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DP4B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.6x
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
18.4x-11.9%€27.7b
DHL Deutsche Post
12.2x8.8%€38.9b
NEP SLOMAN NEPTUN Schiffahrts-Aktiengesellschaft
2.4xn/a€117.9m
KNIN Kuehne + Nagel International
21.4x7.0%CHF 24.3b
DP4B A.P. Møller - Mærsk
7.4x-80.4%€182.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DP4B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the peer average (13.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DP4B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DP4B 7.4xIndustry Avg. 7.7xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DP4B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DP4B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DP4B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.4x
Fair PE Ratio3.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DP4B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DP4B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1,618.00
€1,644.08
+1.6%
17.9%€2,097.87€1,143.79n/a19
Dec ’25€1,612.00
€1,676.04
+4.0%
19.0%€2,166.78€1,223.18n/a18
Nov ’25€1,507.50
€1,610.73
+6.8%
18.6%€2,082.17€1,175.42n/a18
Oct ’25€1,430.00
€1,620.36
+13.3%
20.1%€2,064.64€1,144.55n/a17
Sep ’25€1,348.50
€1,668.48
+23.7%
17.3%€2,067.84€1,232.01n/a17
Aug ’25€1,501.00
€1,720.74
+14.6%
20.3%€2,289.55€1,216.73n/a18
Jul ’25€1,716.00
€1,633.88
-4.8%
22.3%€2,300.92€1,096.55n/a18
Jun ’25€1,690.50
€1,557.32
-7.9%
21.5%€2,239.25€1,085.36n/a18
May ’25€1,368.50
€1,510.61
+10.4%
22.2%€2,376.67€1,106.12n/a17
Apr ’25€1,213.00
€1,612.61
+32.9%
24.6%€2,347.20€1,096.82n/a18
Mar ’25€1,300.00
€1,647.23
+26.7%
24.2%€2,342.88€1,094.80n/a18
Feb ’25€1,672.50
€1,758.34
+5.1%
23.8%€2,329.77€1,098.85n/a17
Jan ’25€1,634.00
€1,623.25
-0.7%
30.3%€2,672.80€1,088.10n/a17
Dec ’24€1,449.50
€1,645.24
+13.5%
29.6%€2,695.69€1,118.99€1,612.0017
Nov ’24€1,613.50
€1,787.14
+10.8%
26.4%€2,738.44€1,246.58€1,507.5017
Oct ’24€1,742.00
€1,859.02
+6.7%
26.0%€2,797.49€1,263.45€1,430.0016
Sep ’24€1,704.50
€1,903.47
+11.7%
25.6%€2,745.44€1,295.91€1,348.5016
Aug ’24€1,845.50
€1,925.39
+4.3%
24.9%€2,751.83€1,271.75€1,501.0016
Jul ’24€1,605.50
€1,917.71
+19.4%
28.9%€3,175.85€1,214.72€1,716.0016
Jun ’24€1,603.50
€1,961.99
+22.4%
29.9%€3,268.57€1,236.05€1,690.5015
May ’24€1,637.50
€1,973.47
+20.5%
29.4%€2,821.89€1,151.41€1,368.5016
Apr ’24€1,674.50
€2,119.93
+26.6%
33.4%€3,201.62€1,169.68€1,213.0015
Mar ’24€2,276.00
€2,320.69
+2.0%
33.4%€3,877.22€1,407.53€1,300.0015
Feb ’24€2,060.00
€2,485.86
+20.7%
33.9%€3,741.18€1,358.15€1,672.5015
Jan ’24€2,138.00
€2,550.46
+19.3%
33.5%€3,723.01€1,405.59€1,634.0016
Dec ’23€2,091.00
€2,504.48
+19.8%
33.0%€3,752.47€1,360.66€1,449.5016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 19:14
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S is covered by 47 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Robert Jan VosABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Hélène CoumesAlphaValue