Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A.

DB:OTE Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.2b

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization Valuation

Is OTE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OTE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OTE (€14.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€19.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OTE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OTE?

Key metric: As OTE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OTE. This is calculated by dividing OTE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OTE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
Earnings€548.80m
Market Cap€6.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OTE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OTE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
22.7x-11.4%€6.2b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
26.5x-41.1%€7.2b
DTE Deutsche Telekom
24.1x18.8%€144.3b
FNTN freenet
12.4x4.2%€3.4b
OTE Hellenic Telecommunications Organization
11.3x3.2%€6.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OTE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OTE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OTE 11.3xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OTE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OTE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OTE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OTE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OTE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.79
€18.02
+21.9%
11.7%€23.00€15.10n/a13
Nov ’25€14.95
€17.93
+19.9%
11.9%€23.00€14.80n/a13
Oct ’25€15.50
€18.01
+16.2%
12.3%€23.00€14.80n/a12
Sep ’25€14.66
€17.84
+21.7%
12.0%€23.00€14.80n/a12
Aug ’25€14.95
€17.95
+20.1%
13.3%€23.00€14.50n/a12
Jul ’25€13.50
€17.93
+32.8%
13.6%€23.00€14.50n/a12
Jun ’25€13.51
€17.77
+31.6%
14.1%€23.00€14.50n/a11
May ’25€14.20
€17.83
+25.6%
14.7%€23.00€14.50n/a10
Apr ’25€13.34
€17.83
+33.7%
14.7%€23.00€14.50n/a10
Mar ’25€13.76
€17.83
+29.6%
14.7%€23.00€14.50n/a10
Feb ’25€12.59
€17.96
+42.7%
12.3%€22.00€14.80n/a10
Jan ’25€12.56
€18.19
+44.8%
10.7%€22.00€15.70n/a10
Dec ’24€13.14
€18.35
+39.7%
11.2%€22.00€15.70n/a11
Nov ’24€13.03
€18.35
+40.9%
11.2%€22.00€15.70€14.9511
Oct ’24€13.47
€18.39
+36.5%
11.2%€22.00€15.70€15.5011
Sep ’24€13.65
€18.39
+34.7%
11.2%€22.00€15.70€14.6611
Aug ’24€14.19
€18.52
+30.5%
11.5%€22.00€15.70€14.9510
Jul ’24€15.43
€18.61
+20.6%
12.1%€22.00€15.70€13.5010
Jun ’24€14.13
€18.61
+31.7%
12.1%€22.00€15.70€13.5110
May ’24€13.15
€18.92
+43.9%
12.7%€23.00€15.70€14.209
Apr ’24€13.17
€18.92
+43.7%
12.7%€23.00€15.70€13.349
Mar ’24€14.42
€19.49
+35.2%
12.9%€23.70€16.60€13.769
Feb ’24€14.32
€19.71
+37.6%
12.2%€23.70€16.50€12.5910
Jan ’24€14.40
€19.71
+36.9%
14.2%€23.70€16.00€12.5610
Dec ’23€14.61
€19.55
+33.8%
13.3%€23.00€16.00€13.1410
Nov ’23€15.65
€19.70
+25.9%
14.0%€24.00€16.00€13.0310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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