Tele2 Valuation

Is NCYD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NCYD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NCYD (€8.93) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€19.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NCYD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NCYD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NCYD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.5x
PEG Ratio5.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NCYD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NCYD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.9x
FNTN freenet
19.4x15.8%€3.0b
1U1 1&1
9.1x1.1%€2.9b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
24.6x14.5%€6.7b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
26.5x-41.1%€7.2b
NCYD Tele2
19.3x3.4%€71.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NCYD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NCYD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-8.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-8.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NCYD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the Global Wireless Telecom industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NCYD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NCYD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NCYD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NCYD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.93
€8.76
-1.9%
10.4%€10.64€7.21n/a20
Apr ’25n/a
€8.49
0%
10.4%€10.34€7.24n/a19
Mar ’25€7.71
€8.73
+13.3%
10.3%€10.63€7.44n/a19
Feb ’25€7.48
€8.71
+16.4%
10.8%€10.62€7.17n/a19
Jan ’25€7.83
€8.97
+14.6%
11.5%€11.34€7.35n/a18
Dec ’24€7.28
€8.56
+17.6%
11.3%€10.94€7.09n/a19
Nov ’24n/a
€8.42
0%
10.8%€10.61€6.88n/a20
Oct ’24n/a
€8.71
0%
12.0%€11.01€7.02n/a19
Sep ’24€6.50
€8.67
+33.5%
12.9%€10.73€6.95n/a19
Aug ’24€6.87
€8.96
+30.3%
13.8%€11.29€7.03n/a19
Jul ’24€7.59
€9.91
+30.5%
10.0%€11.60€7.65n/a19
Jun ’24€8.59
€9.91
+15.3%
10.0%€11.60€7.65n/a19
May ’24€9.45
€10.32
+9.2%
9.0%€11.90€8.64€8.9317
Apr ’24€8.94
€10.38
+16.1%
11.2%€13.15€8.35n/a17
Mar ’24€8.62
€10.61
+23.0%
13.1%€13.35€8.39€7.7118
Feb ’24€8.49
€10.60
+24.9%
11.5%€13.04€8.19€7.4819
Jan ’24n/a
€11.01
0%
10.9%€13.36€8.66€7.8319
Dec ’23€8.61
€11.50
+33.6%
13.3%€15.58€8.80€7.2819
Nov ’23€8.20
€11.50
+40.2%
13.3%€15.58€8.80n/a19
Oct ’23€8.82
€12.53
+42.1%
11.7%€15.53€9.59n/a19
Sep ’23€10.64
€13.00
+22.2%
11.3%€15.83€9.78€6.5019
Aug ’23n/a
€13.41
0%
11.3%€16.32€10.08€6.8719
Jul ’23€10.79
€13.24
+22.7%
11.4%€15.83€9.77€7.5920
Jun ’23n/a
€13.81
0%
11.9%€16.22€9.93€8.5920
May ’23€14.79
€14.17
-4.2%
11.5%€16.42€10.04€9.4520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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