XL Axiata Valuation

Is E5F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of E5F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: E5F (€0.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: E5F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for E5F?

Key metric: As E5F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for E5F. This is calculated by dividing E5F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is E5F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18x
EarningsRp1.59t
Market CapRp28.63t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does E5F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for E5F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
1U1 1&1
8.1x3.8%€2.1b
FNTN freenet
12.6x4.2%€3.5b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
22.9x-11.4%€6.2b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
26.5x-41.1%€7.2b
E5F XL Axiata
18x20.0%€28.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: E5F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does E5F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
E5F 18.0xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: E5F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the Global Wireless Telecom industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is E5F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

E5F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18x
Fair PE Ratio25.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: E5F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst E5F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.11
€0.18
+60.4%
21.6%€0.30€0.14n/a20
Nov ’25€0.11
€0.18
+60.9%
21.3%€0.29€0.13n/a20
Oct ’25€0.11
€0.18
+57.4%
20.7%€0.30€0.14n/a21
Sep ’25€0.11
€0.17
+57.4%
21.9%€0.29€0.13n/a22
Aug ’25€0.10
€0.17
+61.0%
22.1%€0.28€0.12n/a22
Jul ’25€0.10
€0.17
+59.6%
21.9%€0.28€0.12n/a23
Jun ’25€0.11
€0.17
+53.3%
21.4%€0.29€0.12n/a23
May ’25€0.12
€0.17
+39.5%
21.6%€0.29€0.12n/a25
Apr ’25€0.11
€0.17
+49.6%
22.7%€0.29€0.12n/a25
Mar ’25€0.13
€0.17
+27.4%
21.7%€0.30€0.12n/a24
Feb ’25€0.12
€0.17
+44.4%
22.4%€0.29€0.12n/a23
Jan ’25€0.096
€0.17
+80.4%
23.0%€0.29€0.12n/a23
Dec ’24€0.10
€0.17
+67.7%
22.8%€0.30€0.12n/a24
Nov ’24€0.10
€0.18
+68.4%
23.3%€0.30€0.12€0.1123
Oct ’24€0.12
€0.18
+46.0%
22.9%€0.30€0.12€0.1123
Sep ’24€0.13
€0.18
+42.3%
21.8%€0.30€0.12€0.1126
Aug ’24€0.11
€0.18
+53.6%
22.3%€0.30€0.12€0.1027
Jul ’24€0.10
€0.18
+77.2%
22.3%€0.31€0.12€0.1028
Jun ’24€0.10
€0.19
+78.3%
21.2%€0.31€0.12€0.1128
May ’24€0.13
€0.19
+47.1%
19.3%€0.31€0.12€0.1227
Apr ’24€0.10
€0.19
+83.0%
19.5%€0.31€0.12€0.1127
Mar ’24€0.11
€0.20
+84.4%
17.2%€0.31€0.15€0.1326
Feb ’24€0.12
€0.21
+70.5%
18.3%€0.31€0.14€0.1224
Jan ’24€0.12
€0.21
+71.1%
17.8%€0.30€0.14€0.09622
Dec ’23€0.12
€0.22
+86.8%
17.5%€0.31€0.14€0.1022
Nov ’23€0.14
€0.24
+69.1%
15.9%€0.32€0.15€0.1021

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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