TELUS Valuation

Is BCZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BCZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BCZ (€14.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BCZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BCZ?

Key metric: As BCZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BCZ. This is calculated by dividing BCZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BCZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35x
EarningsCA$923.00m
Market CapCA$31.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BCZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BCZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
26.5x-41.1%€7.2b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
22.4x-11.4%€6.2b
DTE Deutsche Telekom
23.6x18.8%€141.2b
788 China Tower
15.5x24.2%HK$176.6b
BCZ TELUS
35x22.5%€31.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BCZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the peer average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BCZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BCZ 35.0xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BCZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BCZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BCZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35x
Fair PE Ratio29.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BCZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BCZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.30
€16.57
+15.9%
9.5%€22.11€14.41n/a17
Oct ’25€15.10
€16.49
+9.2%
9.4%€21.94€14.30n/a17
Sep ’25€14.50
€16.50
+13.8%
9.3%€21.97€14.31n/a17
Aug ’25€15.10
€16.79
+11.2%
9.1%€22.09€15.40n/a17
Jul ’25€14.00
€17.36
+24.0%
8.7%€22.55€15.72n/a17
Jun ’25€15.00
€17.22
+14.8%
8.4%€22.27€16.20n/a17
May ’25€15.00
€17.77
+18.5%
8.1%€22.57€16.42n/a17
Apr ’25€14.80
€18.35
+24.0%
7.7%€22.63€16.46n/a17
Mar ’25€16.10
€18.53
+15.1%
8.0%€22.46€16.33n/a17
Feb ’25€16.60
€18.70
+12.6%
7.6%€22.72€16.52n/a18
Jan ’25€16.00
€18.78
+17.4%
7.4%€22.63€16.46n/a18
Dec ’24€16.90
€18.47
+9.3%
7.8%€22.48€16.35n/a18
Nov ’24€15.40
€18.64
+21.0%
7.8%€22.49€16.35€14.3017
Oct ’24€15.40
€19.55
+26.9%
7.4%€22.61€17.81€15.1017
Sep ’24€16.10
€19.43
+20.7%
7.2%€22.43€17.67€14.5017
Aug ’24€16.00
€20.23
+26.4%
6.4%€22.65€18.53€15.1017
Jul ’24€17.70
€21.61
+22.1%
6.2%€24.24€19.39€14.0017
Jun ’24€17.60
€21.55
+22.4%
6.3%€24.12€19.30€15.0017
May ’24€19.10
€21.10
+10.5%
5.2%€23.40€18.72€15.0017
Apr ’24€18.20
€22.05
+21.1%
4.2%€23.03€19.54€14.8017
Mar ’24€18.50
€22.05
+19.2%
4.2%€23.03€19.54€16.1017
Feb ’24€19.70
€22.52
+14.3%
5.9%€24.92€19.38€16.6017
Jan ’24€18.20
€22.82
+25.4%
4.7%€24.85€20.71€16.0017
Dec ’23€20.00
€24.49
+22.4%
4.8%€26.62€22.18€16.9017
Nov ’23€20.80
€24.63
+18.4%
5.8%€27.49€22.29€15.4017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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