Stock Analysis

Evaluating freenet (XTRA:FNTN): Is Recent Earnings Growth and Buyback Programme Reflecting in Its Valuation?

freenet (XTRA:FNTN) has drawn investor attention after releasing nine-month earnings showing both higher sales and net income compared to last year. The company also has an ongoing share buyback programme that could impact future share value.

See our latest analysis for freenet.

freenet’s performance has caught the eye of investors this year, with its continued share buyback programme and improved profits helping to support sentiment. The 1-year total shareholder return stands at 4.7%. The company’s 3-year total shareholder return reaches an impressive 61.6%, suggesting that momentum remains firmly on its side even as recent price moves have been modest.

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But with shares now hovering near analysts' price targets, investors face a key question: is freenet still trading at a discount given its growing profits, or has the market already priced in the company’s future growth?

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Most Popular Narrative: 12.5% Undervalued

With freenet’s fair value set at €32.03, which is well above the last close of €28.02, the narrative positions the stock as undervalued based on anticipated medium-term momentum and business stability. The current price leaves room for further gains if narrative assumptions play out.

The company is accelerating its adoption of AI across pricing, customer management, and churn reduction processes, which is expected to drive higher conversion rates, lower churn, and improved operational efficiency. This supports revenue growth and expands net margins over time.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what’s fueling this price target? One bold assumption relates to profit margins climbing dramatically, with recurring revenue set to become even more predictable. Want to know which specific financial leap gets baked in? Unlock the narrative—these growth drivers aren’t what most investors expect.

Result: Fair Value of €32.03 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, sustained pricing pressure or a slower-than-expected recovery from key partnerships could quickly challenge the optimistic outlook that currently supports freenet's valuation.

Find out about the key risks to this freenet narrative.

Build Your Own freenet Narrative

If you have a different perspective or prefer hands-on analysis, you can dive into the numbers and develop your own narrative in just a few minutes with Do it your way

A great starting point for your freenet research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if freenet might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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