BT Group plc

BST:BTQ Stock Report

Market Cap: €17.1b

BT Group Valuation

Is BTQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BTQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BTQ (€1.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BTQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BTQ?

Key metric: As BTQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BTQ. This is calculated by dividing BTQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BTQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.5x
EarningsUK£766.00m
Market CapUK£14.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BTQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BTQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.7x
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
22.8x-11.4%€6.2b
DTE Deutsche Telekom
23.7x15.7%€141.9b
FNTN freenet
11.7x3.8%€3.2b
E4C ecotel communication ag
52.6x64.5%€48.7m
BTQ BT Group
18.5x14.1%€14.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BTQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (27.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BTQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BTQ 18.5xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BTQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (17.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BTQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BTQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio26.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BTQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BTQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.74
€2.43
+39.7%
25.9%€3.50€1.33n/a17
Dec ’25€1.91
€2.43
+27.2%
25.7%€3.48€1.32n/a17
Nov ’25€1.67
€2.40
+43.8%
26.0%€3.45€1.31n/a17
Oct ’25€1.73
€2.39
+38.2%
26.1%€3.48€1.32n/a18
Sep ’25€1.63
€2.27
+39.4%
27.1%€3.39€1.29n/a18
Aug ’25€1.65
€2.31
+39.8%
27.1%€3.44€1.30n/a18
Jul ’25€1.66
€2.29
+38.2%
27.2%€3.41€1.30n/a18
Jun ’25€1.51
€2.24
+48.3%
27.4%€3.41€1.29n/a18
May ’25€1.20
€2.13
+77.6%
29.3%€3.39€1.15n/a18
Apr ’25€1.28
€2.17
+69.7%
28.3%€3.39€1.14n/a17
Mar ’25€1.22
€2.17
+78.1%
28.1%€3.39€1.17n/a17
Feb ’25€1.32
€2.20
+66.6%
28.0%€3.40€1.17n/a17
Jan ’25€1.42
€2.22
+56.2%
27.8%€3.38€1.17n/a16
Dec ’24€1.42
€2.17
+53.1%
27.4%€3.34€1.15€1.9116
Nov ’24€1.33
€2.15
+61.9%
26.9%€3.22€1.09€1.6717
Oct ’24€1.35
€2.10
+55.5%
28.5%€3.23€1.10€1.7317
Sep ’24€1.34
€2.18
+62.6%
27.3%€3.25€1.16€1.6317
Aug ’24€1.42
€2.21
+55.9%
27.6%€3.27€1.17€1.6517
Jul ’24€1.42
€2.20
+55.0%
27.8%€3.26€1.16€1.6618
Jun ’24€1.71
€2.22
+29.9%
26.2%€3.24€1.16€1.5118
May ’24€1.80
€2.15
+19.4%
28.2%€3.18€1.03€1.2020
Apr ’24€1.66
€2.14
+29.2%
29.1%€3.18€1.03€1.2820
Mar ’24€1.57
€2.10
+34.3%
30.0%€3.15€1.01€1.2220
Feb ’24€1.43
€2.10
+46.7%
29.8%€3.19€1.02€1.3221
Jan ’24€1.32
€2.16
+63.9%
29.9%€3.21€1.03€1.4221
Dec ’23€1.40
€2.26
+61.7%
28.6%€3.26€1.05€1.4221

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 09:14
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

BT Group plc is covered by 52 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jean-Michel SalvadorAlphaValue
Andrew Charles BealeArete Research Services LLP
John DaviesBanco Santander