Napatech Valuation

Is NAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NAT (€2.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€30.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NAT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NAT?

Key metric: As NAT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NAT. This is calculated by dividing NAT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NAT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio11.4x
SalesDKK 136.81m
Market CapDKK 1.55b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NAT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.1x
FEW Funkwerk
1xn/a€165.2m
ADV Adtran Networks
2.1x4.6%€1.0b
CEK CeoTronics
1.4x10.3%€41.9m
GGS Gigaset
0.03x5.6%€9.1m
NAT Napatech
11.4x83.4%€2.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NAT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NAT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Communications Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NAT 11.4xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies9PS00.81.62.43.24+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NAT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.4x) compared to the European Communications industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NAT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NAT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio11.4x
Fair PS Ratio19.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NAT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (19.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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