Stock Analysis

InterCard AG Informationssysteme (FRA:II8) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

DB:SC8
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Most readers would already be aware that InterCard Informationssysteme's (FRA:II8) stock increased significantly by 12% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on InterCard Informationssysteme's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for InterCard Informationssysteme

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for InterCard Informationssysteme is:

7.6% = €615k ÷ €8.1m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every €1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated €0.08 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

InterCard Informationssysteme's Earnings Growth And 7.6% ROE

When you first look at it, InterCard Informationssysteme's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.4%. But InterCard Informationssysteme saw a five year net income decline of 7.4% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

So, as a next step, we compared InterCard Informationssysteme's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 6.1% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
DB:II8 Past Earnings Growth January 26th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about InterCard Informationssysteme's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is InterCard Informationssysteme Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

InterCard Informationssysteme doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by InterCard Informationssysteme can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for InterCard Informationssysteme by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About DB:SC8

Secanda

Secanda AG provides identification and payment systems for companies and authorities, clinics and care, college and education, and municipalities and events.

Excellent balance sheet and good value.