Cisco Systems Valuation

Is CIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CIS (€55.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€70.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CIS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CIS?

Key metric: As CIS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CIS. This is calculated by dividing CIS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CIS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.8x
EarningsUS$9.39b
Market CapUS$229.53b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CIS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.5x
ANET Arista Networks
53.3x11.9%US$137.4b
MSI Motorola Solutions
50.3x17.4%US$77.5b
FEW Funkwerk
9.5xn/a€154.3m
CEK CeoTronics
37x25.5%€45.5m
CIS Cisco Systems
24.4x8.1%€229.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the peer average (36.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CIS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Communications Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CIS 24.8xIndustry Avg. 31.7xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the Global Communications industry average (35.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CIS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CIS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.8x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CIS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€56.33
€59.58
+5.8%
10.8%€74.76€47.92n/a24
Dec ’25€55.85
€58.78
+5.2%
10.5%€74.01€47.44n/a24
Nov ’25€50.97
€51.98
+2.0%
10.0%€71.82€45.12n/a24
Oct ’25€47.48
€48.81
+2.8%
6.1%€53.68€43.84n/a23
Sep ’25€45.43
€48.69
+7.2%
5.7%€53.93€44.04n/a22
Aug ’25€44.44
€49.18
+10.7%
6.5%€55.43€42.49n/a21
Jul ’25€44.34
€49.77
+12.2%
6.4%€55.99€42.92n/a21
Jun ’25€42.28
€50.49
+19.4%
10.7%€70.23€42.51n/a22
May ’25€44.30
€50.07
+13.0%
11.6%€71.35€40.37n/a24
Apr ’25€46.25
€48.96
+5.9%
12.2%€69.95€39.58n/a21
Mar ’25€44.42
€48.95
+10.2%
12.8%€70.23€39.74n/a20
Feb ’25€46.26
€49.74
+7.5%
11.9%€69.91€39.56n/a20
Jan ’25€45.89
€49.38
+7.6%
12.1%€69.15€39.13n/a20
Dec ’24€44.65
€50.53
+13.2%
12.2%€70.06€39.64€55.8519
Nov ’24€49.32
€55.71
+13.0%
10.0%€71.58€42.39€50.9720
Oct ’24€50.93
€55.93
+9.8%
9.7%€71.39€42.27€47.4822
Sep ’24€53.79
€54.26
+0.9%
9.4%€67.28€41.48€45.4323
Aug ’24€47.83
€51.33
+7.3%
9.8%€65.99€40.68€44.4423
Jul ’24€47.36
€51.88
+9.5%
8.7%€66.90€46.74€44.3421
Jun ’24€46.45
€53.01
+14.1%
8.9%€68.31€47.72€42.2820
May ’24€42.76
€52.23
+22.1%
9.3%€66.25€46.28€44.3020
Apr ’24€47.33
€54.60
+15.4%
9.6%€68.77€48.05€46.2522
Mar ’24€45.34
€53.80
+18.7%
9.2%€65.41€43.60€44.4221
Feb ’24€44.01
€49.51
+12.5%
10.5%€61.57€40.44€46.2621
Jan ’24€44.39
€51.41
+15.8%
12.6%€68.67€41.39€45.8922
Dec ’23€47.86
€52.77
+10.3%
12.9%€70.72€42.62€44.6522

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 23:51
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/10/26
Annual Earnings2024/07/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Cisco Systems, Inc. is covered by 92 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Edward ZabitskyACI Research
James KelleherArgus Research Company
Josep BoriAtlantic Equities LLP