OneSpan Inc.

DB:VDY Stock Report

Market Cap: €664.5m

OneSpan Valuation

Is VDY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VDY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VDY (€17.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€13.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VDY is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VDY?

Key metric: As VDY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VDY. This is calculated by dividing VDY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VDY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.1x
EarningsUS$28.74m
Market CapUS$693.34m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VDY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VDY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20x
IXX init innovation in traffic systems
19.4x27.8%€355.5m
IVU IVU Traffic Technologies
20.5xn/a€250.5m
MUM Mensch und Maschine Software
28.3x14.0%€904.0m
TMV TeamViewer
11.9x10.7%€1.4b
VDY OneSpan
24.1x23.0%€693.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VDY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x) compared to the peer average (20x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VDY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VDY 24.1xIndustry Avg. 26.2xNo. of Companies18PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VDY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x) compared to the European Software industry average (26.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VDY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VDY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.1x
Fair PE Ratio23.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VDY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VDY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.30
€19.03
+10.0%
17.8%€21.89€14.27n/a3
Dec ’25€17.10
€15.94
-6.8%
9.8%€17.47€13.79n/a3
Nov ’25€15.20
€15.94
+4.8%
9.8%€17.47€13.79n/a3
Oct ’25€14.90
€14.71
-1.3%
16.1%€18.01€12.61n/a3
Sep ’25€14.50
€13.29
-8.4%
3.4%€13.74€12.83n/a2
Aug ’25€13.60
€12.51
-8.0%
11.1%€13.90€11.12n/a2
Jul ’25€11.90
€11.27
-5.3%
2.0%€11.50€11.04n/a2
Jun ’25€12.00
€11.27
-6.1%
2.0%€11.50€11.04n/a2
May ’25€10.10
€11.87
+17.6%
10.9%€13.70€10.96n/a3
Apr ’25€10.80
€11.87
+9.9%
10.9%€13.70€10.96n/a3
Mar ’25€8.85
€10.65
+20.3%
14.1%€12.32€8.67n/a3
Feb ’25€9.45
€10.65
+12.7%
14.1%€12.32€8.67n/a3
Jan ’25€9.70
€12.82
+32.1%
25.4%€16.88€8.91n/a3
Dec ’24€9.15
€12.82
+40.1%
25.4%€16.88€8.91€17.103
Nov ’24€7.40
€14.31
+93.4%
16.8%€16.44€10.96€15.203
Oct ’24€10.20
€14.31
+40.3%
16.8%€16.44€10.96€14.903
Sep ’24€11.30
€14.31
+26.7%
16.8%€16.44€10.96€14.503
Aug ’24€12.40
€18.13
+46.2%
10.6%€20.63€15.94€13.603
Jul ’24€13.60
€18.13
+33.3%
10.6%€20.63€15.94€11.903
Jun ’24€14.10
€18.13
+28.6%
10.6%€20.63€15.94€12.003
May ’24€14.00
€18.13
+29.5%
10.6%€20.63€15.94€10.103
Apr ’24€15.30
€18.13
+18.5%
10.6%€20.63€15.94€10.803
Mar ’24€12.80
€18.13
+41.7%
10.6%€20.63€15.94€8.853
Feb ’24€12.60
€18.99
+50.7%
15.4%€22.38€15.26€9.453
Jan ’24€10.40
€18.99
+82.6%
15.4%€22.38€15.26€9.703
Dec ’23€12.00
€18.99
+58.2%
15.4%€22.38€15.26€9.153

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 06:11
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

OneSpan Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Daniel DrawbaughB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Matthew GalinkoB. Riley Wealth