SAP Valuation

Is SAP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAP (€219.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€182.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAP?

Key metric: As SAP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAP. This is calculated by dividing SAP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio93.2x
Earnings€2.75b
Market Cap€255.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.9x
NEM Nemetschek
66.9x18.6%€11.4b
TMV TeamViewer
14.7x11.0%€1.7b
AOF ATOSS Software
42.1x7.8%€1.8b
MUM Mensch und Maschine Software
28x14.0%€893.8m
SAP SAP
93.2x40.8%€255.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (93.2x) compared to the peer average (37.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAP 93.2xIndustry Avg. 28.5xNo. of Companies17PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (93.2x) compared to the European Software industry average (28.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio93.2x
Fair PE Ratio59.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (93.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€219.60
€228.65
+4.1%
14.1%€270.00€146.00n/a26
Nov ’25€215.95
€228.65
+5.9%
14.1%€270.00€146.00n/a26
Oct ’25€203.85
€212.80
+4.4%
13.7%€245.00€141.00n/a25
Sep ’25€198.36
€209.52
+5.6%
12.9%€240.00€141.00n/a25
Aug ’25€189.50
€207.92
+9.7%
12.9%€240.00€141.00n/a25
Jul ’25€185.40
€192.00
+3.6%
13.1%€230.00€125.00n/a24
Jun ’25€166.58
€191.50
+15.0%
13.1%€230.00€125.00n/a24
May ’25€169.34
€186.58
+10.2%
17.1%€230.00€90.00n/a24
Apr ’25€180.52
€177.92
-1.4%
17.2%€230.00€90.00n/a24
Mar ’25€173.38
€173.75
+0.2%
15.4%€205.00€90.00n/a24
Feb ’25€162.44
€167.42
+3.1%
16.7%€200.00€90.00n/a24
Jan ’25€139.60
€141.77
+1.6%
12.8%€170.00€90.00n/a26
Dec ’24€147.00
€139.08
-5.4%
11.5%€162.00€90.00n/a26
Nov ’24€128.54
€139.08
+8.2%
11.5%€162.00€90.00€215.9526
Oct ’24€122.96
€137.50
+11.8%
9.1%€159.00€115.00€203.8524
Sep ’24€127.86
€137.08
+7.2%
8.9%€159.00€115.00€198.3624
Aug ’24€123.82
€136.88
+10.5%
8.7%€154.00€115.00€189.5024
Jul ’24€125.10
€130.85
+4.6%
13.1%€154.00€68.00€185.4026
Jun ’24€123.18
€129.76
+5.3%
13.8%€154.00€68.00€166.5825
May ’24€122.72
€127.31
+3.7%
14.5%€150.00€68.00€169.3426
Apr ’24€116.00
€118.12
+1.8%
14.3%€143.00€68.00€180.5225
Mar ’24€106.40
€116.63
+9.6%
13.8%€143.00€68.00€173.3827
Feb ’24€109.84
€116.63
+6.2%
13.8%€143.00€68.00€162.4427
Jan ’24€96.36
€113.78
+18.1%
14.4%€143.00€68.00€139.6027
Dec ’23€106.46
€113.04
+6.2%
14.4%€143.00€68.00€147.0027
Nov ’23€97.00
€112.19
+15.7%
13.2%€135.00€68.00€128.5427

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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