Oracle Corporation Japan Valuation

Is OCJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OCJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OCJ (€88) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€61.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OCJ is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCJ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

OCJ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.8x
PEG Ratio4.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OCJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OCJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.4x
IXX init innovation in traffic systems
19.6x21.6%€366.4m
NEM Nemetschek
61.2x16.9%€10.8b
IVU IVU Traffic Technologies
21.6xn/a€246.0m
BC8 Bechtle
19x8.6%€4.9b
OCJ Oracle Corporation Japan
32.1x7.9%€1.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OCJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.1x) compared to the peer average (30.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OCJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a36.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OCJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.1x) compared to the European Software industry average (30.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OCJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OCJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.1x
Fair PE Ratio29.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OCJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OCJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€88.00
€83.38
-5.3%
16.8%€97.99€60.02n/a7
Sep ’25€80.00
€67.30
-15.9%
9.5%€74.59€56.23n/a7
Aug ’25€72.00
€67.30
-6.5%
9.5%€74.59€56.23n/a7
Jul ’25€62.50
€65.50
+4.8%
10.4%€74.97€56.52n/a7
Jun ’25€64.00
€69.98
+9.3%
11.0%€79.60€60.01n/a7
May ’25€69.00
€69.98
+1.4%
11.0%€79.60€60.01n/a7
Apr ’25€67.50
€69.98
+3.7%
11.0%€79.60€60.01n/a7
Mar ’25€69.50
€70.68
+1.7%
9.4%€79.90€60.23n/a6
Feb ’25€72.00
€72.12
+0.2%
10.0%€83.07€62.62n/a7
Jan ’25€67.50
€72.12
+6.8%
10.0%€83.07€62.62n/a7
Dec ’24€68.50
€66.82
-2.5%
10.4%€80.57€57.33n/a8
Nov ’24€66.00
€66.57
+0.9%
12.3%€82.28€53.17n/a9
Oct ’24€68.50
€66.57
-2.8%
12.3%€82.28€53.17€90.009
Sep ’24€62.50
€67.46
+7.9%
13.1%€82.87€52.91€80.009
Aug ’24€62.50
€67.09
+7.3%
15.0%€83.91€53.57€72.009
Jul ’24€66.50
€62.79
-5.6%
16.2%€82.58€52.73€62.509
Jun ’24€70.00
€65.32
-6.7%
9.1%€76.40€57.65€64.009
May ’24€64.00
€65.32
+2.1%
9.1%€76.40€57.65€69.009
Apr ’24€64.00
€65.32
+2.1%
9.1%€76.40€57.65€67.509
Mar ’24€63.00
€63.95
+1.5%
7.8%€69.98€56.68€69.509
Feb ’24€61.00
€64.60
+5.9%
7.7%€70.77€57.32€72.009
Jan ’24€59.00
€64.60
+9.5%
7.7%€70.77€57.32€67.509
Dec ’23€56.00
€60.84
+8.6%
6.4%€68.57€56.10€68.509
Nov ’23€51.50
€62.57
+21.5%
10.5%€78.86€56.03€66.0010
Oct ’23€52.50
€64.52
+22.9%
10.7%€82.04€58.29€68.5010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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