Microsoft Valuation

Is MSF0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MSF0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MSF0 (€19.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€26.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MSF0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MSF0?

Key metric: As MSF0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MSF0. This is calculated by dividing MSF0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MSF0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio34.1x
EarningsUS$90.51b
Market CapUS$3.09t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MSF0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MSF0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average78.8x
SAP SAP
92.6x40.8%€254.3b
ORCL Oracle
46.9x16.5%US$509.2b
NOW ServiceNow
155.3x21.7%US$208.7b
IXX init innovation in traffic systems
20.3x27.8%€370.4m
MSF0 Microsoft
34.2x12.6%€3.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MSF0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the peer average (78.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MSF0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MSF0 34.1xIndustry Avg. 27.7xNo. of Companies17PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MSF0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the European Software industry average (27.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MSF0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MSF0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.1x
Fair PE Ratio60.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MSF0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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