Manhattan Associates, Inc.

DB:MHT Stock Report

Market Cap: €16.4b

Manhattan Associates Valuation

Is MHT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MHT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MHT (€258) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€236.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MHT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MHT?

Key metric: As MHT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MHT. This is calculated by dividing MHT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MHT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio78.2x
EarningsUS$219.08m
Market CapUS$17.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MHT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MHT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.4x
NEM Nemetschek
67.5x18.6%€11.5b
AOF ATOSS Software
43.4x7.8%€1.9b
TMV TeamViewer
15x11.1%€1.8b
SAP SAP
95.7x40.8%€262.8b
MHT Manhattan Associates
78.2x11.3%€17.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MHT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (78.2x) compared to the peer average (55.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MHT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MHT 78.2xIndustry Avg. 28.1xNo. of Companies19PE020406080100+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MHT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (78.2x) compared to the European Software industry average (28.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MHT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MHT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio78.2x
Fair PE Ratio31.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MHT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (78.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MHT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€258.00
€271.18
+5.1%
13.1%€298.87€185.02n/a9
Nov ’25€242.00
€266.47
+10.1%
12.5%€291.82€180.65n/a9
Oct ’25€252.00
€234.84
-6.8%
10.9%€257.87€175.21n/a10
Sep ’25€236.00
€234.63
-0.6%
10.1%€260.83€178.46n/a10
Aug ’25€236.00
€234.89
-0.5%
10.2%€263.20€180.08n/a10
Jul ’25€228.00
€230.24
+1.0%
8.6%€256.71€182.03n/a10
Jun ’25€199.00
€223.26
+12.2%
9.1%€252.73€179.21n/a10
May ’25€196.00
€222.26
+13.4%
9.0%€256.36€181.78n/a9
Apr ’25€230.00
€218.34
-5.1%
8.6%€237.54€178.15n/a9
Mar ’25€234.00
€218.75
-6.5%
8.5%€240.63€180.47n/a8
Feb ’25€224.00
€218.75
-2.3%
8.5%€240.63€180.47n/a8
Jan ’25€195.00
€196.77
+0.9%
11.5%€224.42€157.55n/a8
Dec ’24€204.00
€193.76
-5.0%
10.8%€223.59€156.97n/a8
Nov ’24€184.00
€196.16
+6.6%
10.4%€217.63€162.75€242.008
Oct ’24€186.00
€194.11
+4.4%
10.4%€216.13€161.63€252.008
Sep ’24€186.00
€189.24
+1.7%
9.9%€211.99€158.53€236.008
Aug ’24€173.00
€183.63
+6.1%
10.5%€207.32€155.04€236.007
Jul ’24€179.00
€165.54
-7.5%
11.4%€195.30€148.80€228.007
Jun ’24€169.00
€165.54
-2.0%
11.4%€195.30€148.80€199.007
May ’24€153.00
€159.38
+4.2%
10.2%€190.32€145.01€196.007
Apr ’24€139.00
€156.70
+12.7%
11.4%€192.52€136.17€230.007
Mar ’24€135.00
€156.70
+16.1%
11.4%€192.52€136.17€234.007
Feb ’24€119.00
€154.60
+29.9%
12.0%€189.97€129.74€224.006
Jan ’24€114.00
€157.72
+38.3%
10.7%€191.88€140.40€195.006
Dec ’23€120.00
€167.63
+39.7%
10.6%€203.34€148.79€204.006
Nov ’23€123.00
€167.63
+36.3%
10.6%€203.34€148.79€184.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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