Commvault Systems, Inc.

DB:D6I Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.6b

Commvault Systems Valuation

Is D6I undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of D6I when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: D6I (€151) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€156.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: D6I is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for D6I?

Key metric: As D6I is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for D6I. This is calculated by dividing D6I's market cap by their current earnings.
What is D6I's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio39.1x
EarningsUS$177.35m
Market CapUS$6.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does D6I's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for D6I vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.6x
IXX init innovation in traffic systems
19.4x27.8%€355.5m
IVU IVU Traffic Technologies
20.5xn/a€250.5m
NEM Nemetschek
63x18.5%€10.8b
BC8 Bechtle
15.5x9.4%€3.9b
D6I Commvault Systems
39.1x-15.3%€6.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: D6I is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x) compared to the peer average (29.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does D6I's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
D6I 39.1xIndustry Avg. 26.2xNo. of Companies18PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: D6I is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x) compared to the European Software industry average (26.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is D6I's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

D6I PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio39.1x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: D6I is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst D6I forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€151.00
€165.68
+9.7%
11.0%€190.22€137.15n/a6
Dec ’25€162.00
€170.97
+5.5%
8.2%€189.76€146.12n/a5
Nov ’25€143.00
€161.37
+12.8%
7.1%€170.35€141.80n/a4
Oct ’25€137.00
€144.66
+5.6%
8.4%€157.83€126.27n/a5
Sep ’25€137.00
€148.84
+8.6%
7.5%€161.61€129.29n/a6
Aug ’25€140.00
€148.84
+6.3%
7.5%€161.61€129.29n/a6
Jul ’25€113.00
€111.58
-1.3%
11.6%€130.80€91.56n/a7
Jun ’25€100.00
€108.57
+8.6%
10.7%€128.81€90.17n/a7
May ’25€95.00
€104.66
+10.2%
12.4%€116.91€78.75n/a8
Apr ’25€92.50
€91.30
-1.3%
11.2%€106.43€77.93n/a8
Mar ’25€88.00
€91.30
+3.8%
11.2%€106.43€77.93n/a8
Feb ’25€84.50
€91.30
+8.0%
11.2%€106.43€77.93n/a8
Jan ’25€72.50
€74.18
+2.3%
6.5%€79.09€66.21n/a6
Dec ’24€69.50
€74.18
+6.7%
6.5%€79.09€66.21€162.006
Nov ’24€61.50
€74.18
+20.6%
6.5%€79.09€66.21€143.006
Oct ’24€64.00
€74.18
+15.9%
6.5%€79.09€66.21€137.006
Sep ’24€62.50
€74.18
+18.7%
6.5%€79.09€66.21€137.006
Aug ’24€70.50
€70.47
-0.04%
9.2%€78.30€61.91€140.005
Jul ’24€66.00
€64.94
-1.6%
12.0%€78.44€56.55€113.005
Jun ’24€65.00
€64.94
-0.09%
12.0%€78.44€56.55€100.005
May ’24€52.50
€63.57
+21.1%
12.5%€78.29€54.62€95.006
Apr ’24€50.50
€63.57
+25.9%
12.5%€78.29€54.62€92.506
Mar ’24€55.50
€63.57
+14.5%
12.5%€78.29€54.62€88.006
Feb ’24€57.00
€63.57
+11.5%
12.5%€78.29€54.62€84.506
Jan ’24€59.00
€69.79
+18.3%
6.4%€76.30€63.07€72.505
Dec ’23€62.50
€69.79
+11.7%
6.4%€76.30€63.07€69.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 04:36
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Commvault Systems, Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jayson NolandBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Joel FishbeinBMO Capital Markets Equity Research